REUTERS/Ali Jarekji
First, the scoreboard:
- Dow: 15,302.2, +29.3 +0.1%
- S&P 500: 1,696.3, +3.5, +0.2%
- NASDAQ: 3,782.7, +21.6, +0.5%
And now the top stories:
- We got mixed news on the U.S. labor market today.
- First, we learned that initial unemployment claims plunged to 305,000 from 309,000 last week. This was much lower than the 325,000 expected by economists. It also brought the four-week moving average down to 308,000, the lowest level since June 2007.
- "We believe the true underlying trend is closer to 320,000," said Deustche Bank's Joseph LaVorgna. "Still, this would represent the lowest reading since Q4 2007, so based on these figures the labor market is getting better, albeit at a modest pace."
- Second, we got some interesting anecdotes from the Kansas City Fed's manufacturing survey. "Worker shortages remained a problem at many firms," said KC Fed economist Chad Wilkerson. Among the anecdotes: "Our starting wage has dropped because we are having to train people that come to us with no experience or skill." "Our industry has lost labor force to the oil and gas industry, which is not really paying more hourly but is giving a lot more overtime." "We keep hearing the economy is getting better, but we have not seen an improvement."
- Federal Reserve Governor Jeremy Stein proposed a new rule to guide the reduction of easy monetary policy. "My personal preference would be to make future step-downs a completely deterministic function of a labor market indicator, such as the unemployment rate or cumulative payroll growth over some period," said Stein. "For example, one could cut monthly purchases [of Treasury securities and mortgage-backed securities] by a set amount for each further 10 basis point (0.1%) decline in the unemployment rate.""
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