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Traders are piling into 3 safety trades

Aug 25, 2024, 21:16 IST
ReutersParamilitary policemen blow up life buoys during a drill in preparation for the coming of typhoon Chanchu in east China's Zhejiang province May 17, 2006. Typhoon Chanchu, the strongest typhoon on record to enter the South China Sea in May and packing heavy rain and winds up to 170 kph (106 mph), made landfall between the cities of Shantou and Xiamen and was heading northeast, China Daily reported.Global investors are starting to show signs of worry after President Donald Trump admitted to sharing classified information with Russia.

US stocks ticked to record highs at the open on May 16, but have since pulled back. As money moves out of stocks, it has moved into three big "risk off" trades.

  1. The Japanese yen
  2. US Treasurys
  3. Gold

The basic outline here is that betting on yen appreciation is popular during periods of heightened uncertainty.

US Treasurys, considered the safest place investors can park their money, and gold, which is a traditional "end of the world" trade, are also often bought by investors in times of stress.

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The yen is stronger by 0.7% at 113.00 against the dollar. Last week, it hit a 3-month high near 114.28. A move through 108.13 will have the yen at its strongest level since the week following Donald Trump's election victory.

Investing.com

US Treasurys are seeing a modest bid push yields down by about 4 basis points in the belly of the curve. The benchmark 10-year yield is testing support in the 2.30% area after crossing 2.40% just last week. A breakdown of that level puts the April low of 2.17% back in play.

Investing.com

Gold is higher by 0.6% at $1,238 an ounce. The precious metal would have to top $1,295 to get to levels last seen since the election.

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Investing.com

While these moves are still relatively small, they could be a sign the period of low volatility that has gripped markets for most of the year is finally coming to an end.

Get the latest Gold price here.

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