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Tech stocks are already recovering from a two-day shellacking

Aug 26, 2024, 08:21 IST
Clive Brunskill / Staff / Getty ImagesWell that was quick.

For a brief time, it looked like water had been thrown on the red-hot tech sector. Then stock investors executed one of their favorite bull market strategies: adding to positions by scooping up shares at a discount.

That buying sent the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index as much as 0.9% higher on Tuesday. The group was also the best-performing sector in the S&P 500.

"That was just a little nervous selling as we awaited second-quarter earnings results," Diane Jaffee, a senior portfolio manager at TCW Group, which oversees $195 billion, said to Business Insider by phone. "We shouldn't get so hung up on just a little bit of market rebalancing."

The recovery in tech shares is the latest example of investors buying the dip, a tried and true method that's underpinned stock gains for the past eight years. We've seen equities escape from seemingly dire straits on multiple occasions.

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For evidence of this, look no further than the S&P 500's 1.8% single-day decline last month. The index recovered 85% of that loss over the following three days, the second-fastest retracement of a loss that big in S&P 500 history, according to data compiled by Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Going further back in time, after the S&P 500 fell by 5.3% over two trading sessions following the UK's vote last June to leave the European Union, the benchmark recovered those losses in about a week.

The same dynamic was in play when China unexpectedly devalued its currency in August 2015. After the S&P 500 underwent an 11% correction, traders bought the dip and restored the benchmark to its pre-sell-off levels within about two months.

Meanwhile, improving earnings growth for US corporations is also painting a rosy picture, particularly for tech stocks. Companies in the sector saw 21% profit expansion in the first quarter, the best of any group, according to Bloomberg data. It's expected to see 14% earnings growth in the second quarter, almost double that of the S&P 500.

If there's an argument against tech stocks right now, it's that share prices have run too far. In a recent research note, Bank of America highlighted the ratio of tech enterprise value to sales, which sits at its highest since the dotcom bubble, relative to the S&P 500.

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However, the firm found that the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for the group remains low relative to history. The resulting impasse highlights the situation facing tech stocks: for every negative indicator, there's a positive one to offset it.

Hence the continued buying on weakness.

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