+

Cookies on the Business Insider India website

Business Insider India has updated its Privacy and Cookie policy. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the better experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we\'ll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies on the Business Insider India website. However, you can change your cookie setting at any time by clicking on our Cookie Policy at any time. You can also see our Privacy Policy.

Close
HomeQuizzoneWhatsappShare Flash Reads
 

Value stocks will soar when the economy recovers, top strategist David Rosenberg says

Oct 6, 2020, 19:22 IST
Business Insider
Screenshot via Bloomberg TV

Advertisement
  • Value investors will be rewarded eventually, David Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist at Rosenberg Research Associates, said in a recent RealVision interview.
  • "If we go into a new economic cycle, the value stocks are going to surge," he said.
  • However, Rosenberg predicted they will only skyrocket if there are "sustained signs of inflation, higher rates, a steeper yield curve, and a durable acceleration of global growth."
  • Rosenberg also underscored the appeal of reasonably priced growth stocks when growth is hard to come by, and warned it isn't sustainable for governments to keep shoring up asset prices with stimulus.
  • Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.

Value investors have trailed growth investors in recent years thanks to the outperformance of technology stocks. They will eventually be rewarded for their patience, David Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist at Rosenberg Research Associates, said in a RealVision interview released this week.

"If we go into a new economic cycle, the value stocks are going to surge," Rosenberg said. "It's way too early right now but that day is going to come, and you'll get paid to wait."

Read more: A CIO who earned up to 90% per trade during the March crash offers his 2 best strategies for protecting against Trump-driven volatility — and says the president's diagnosis will be the catalyst for a further sell-off

Value stocks are broadly priced for a prolonged recession, limiting the downside to betting on them, he continued. However, they won't soar until a few things happen, he cautioned.

Advertisement

"Value is a trade, it's not yet a trend," Rosenberg said. "For value to really take over in the stock market, we need to see sustained signs of inflation, higher rates, a steeper yield curve, and a durable acceleration of global growth."

Still, Rosenberg acknowledged the appeal of reasonably priced growth stocks.

"You want to own these growth stocks because of scarcity of growth," he said. "You want to own what's scarce," he continued, adding that yield is also hard to come by.

In other words, growth stocks look attractive when few companies are growing and cash and bonds are yielding almost nothing due to rock-bottom interest rates.

Read more: A Neuberger Berman investment chief says he's identified 3 overlooked ways to profit from world-changing 5G technology — and shares the stock picks best-suited for all of them

Advertisement

However, Rosenberg warned that asset prices are being buoyed by unprecedented, unsustainable levels of monetary and fiscal stimulus in response to the pandemic.

"The medication provided by the doctor was more than double the actual pain that the patients received," he said, referring to authorities flooding the US economy with $5 trillion of stimulus in response to a $2 trillion loss of GDP.

You are subscribed to notifications!
Looks like you've blocked notifications!
Next Article