Swiggy IPO subscribed to 2.13 times on last day of the offer
Nov 8, 2024, 13:35 IST
Food delivery and quick-commerce behemoth Swiggy's initial public offering (IPO) closes for subscription today. The issue has already been subscribed about 213% as of 1:35 pm today. The offer garnered massive interest from QIB (qualified institutional buyers), who subscribed 3.46x to it, bidding for 30,09,09,954 shares as against 8,69,23,475 shares allotted for them. The company will tentatively list on both BSE and NSE on November 13, 2024.
Swiggy's employees also gave the IPO a thumbs-up, subscribing 1.42x to the offer. Around 7,50,000 shares were reserved for employees in the IPO, at a discount of Rs 25 to the issue price.
On the other hand, retail investors subscribed to 99% of their potion. At the same time, the NII (non-institutional category) fetched a muted response, with investors subscribing to only 25% of shares in their category.
Investors can expect dampened listing day gains, going by the trends in the GMP (grey market premium) market. The company's last-traded GMP was at a mere Rs 1, taking the estimated listing price to Rs 391 (upper end of the price band at Rs 390 + GMP), which means that the potential gain per share would be a minuscule 0.26%.
Per InCred Equities, the IPO can be subscribed to since the company has favorable scale and potential to tap in long-term opportunities. Quick commerce provides growth runaway, while the food delivery vertical has the potential to improve the margin and cash flow going ahead.
Per the company's Q1FY25 earnings report, it generates 47% of revenue from the food delivery business and 39% from its supply chain and distribution business (operated via Scootsy Logistics Private Limited). About 12% of the company's revenue comes from its quick commerce wing i.e. Instamart, while Dineout (eating out) and platform innovations make up about 1% each of the revenue.
"Swiggy’s IPO price band implies 1) EV/revenue multiple of ~6.5x, 2) EV/GOV of ~2.1x, and 3) a P/S of ~6.7x based on annualized FY25F financials. The valuation is at a discount to Zomato, which trades at an EV/revenue multiple of ~11.3x, an EV/GOV of ~3.2x (annualized), and a P/S of ~11.4x based on FY25F consensus estimates. Internal controls, as reflected in the auditor’s qualified opinion, and increased competitive intensity are the key downside risks, in our view," InCred further adds.
Notably, in FY23 and FY24, auditors raised concerns over loans given to subsidiaries, namely Supr Infotech and Scootsy which may impact Swiggy's overall financial stability. Some of the qualifications highlighted by the auditors include potential impairment, interest payment delay, and using new loans to cover interest costs.
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Swiggy's employees also gave the IPO a thumbs-up, subscribing 1.42x to the offer. Around 7,50,000 shares were reserved for employees in the IPO, at a discount of Rs 25 to the issue price.
On the other hand, retail investors subscribed to 99% of their potion. At the same time, the NII (non-institutional category) fetched a muted response, with investors subscribing to only 25% of shares in their category.
Dull GMP
Pre-IPO, Swiggy had also lapped up Rs 5,085 crore from anchor investors. With a price band of Rs 371-390, the company is looking to raise Rs 11,327 crore from the IPO. Out of this, the fresh issue component is worth Rs 4,499 crore, and the offer for sale (OFS) is Rs 6,828 crore.Investors can expect dampened listing day gains, going by the trends in the GMP (grey market premium) market. The company's last-traded GMP was at a mere Rs 1, taking the estimated listing price to Rs 391 (upper end of the price band at Rs 390 + GMP), which means that the potential gain per share would be a minuscule 0.26%.
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Per the company's Q1FY25 earnings report, it generates 47% of revenue from the food delivery business and 39% from its supply chain and distribution business (operated via Scootsy Logistics Private Limited). About 12% of the company's revenue comes from its quick commerce wing i.e. Instamart, while Dineout (eating out) and platform innovations make up about 1% each of the revenue.
"Swiggy’s IPO price band implies 1) EV/revenue multiple of ~6.5x, 2) EV/GOV of ~2.1x, and 3) a P/S of ~6.7x based on annualized FY25F financials. The valuation is at a discount to Zomato, which trades at an EV/revenue multiple of ~11.3x, an EV/GOV of ~3.2x (annualized), and a P/S of ~11.4x based on FY25F consensus estimates. Internal controls, as reflected in the auditor’s qualified opinion, and increased competitive intensity are the key downside risks, in our view," InCred further adds.
Notably, in FY23 and FY24, auditors raised concerns over loans given to subsidiaries, namely Supr Infotech and Scootsy which may impact Swiggy's overall financial stability. Some of the qualifications highlighted by the auditors include potential impairment, interest payment delay, and using new loans to cover interest costs.