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Stock market today: US equities trade mostly higher as Powell affirms rate cuts are likely

Apr 4, 2024, 03:14 IST
Business Insider
U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference following a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) at the headquarters of the Federal Reserve on June 14, 2023 in Washington, DC. After a streak of ten interest rate increases, Powell announced that rates will remain steady and unchangedDrew Angerer/Getty Images
  • US stocks traded mostly higher on Wednesday as investors focused on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's latest comments.
  • He affirmed rate cuts are likely coming this year, assuming inflation continues to cool.
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US stocks traded mostly higher on Wednesday as investors took in the latest guidance from Federal Reserve officials on the timing of interest rate cuts. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite ended the trading day in the green, while bond yields ticked lower.

In an afternoon address, Fed Chair Jerome Powell affirmed that rate cuts were likely coming later in 2024. Still, he suggested policymakers need to have more confidence inflation is moving back to the Fed's 2% price target before issuing the first cut.

"On inflation, it is too soon to say whether the recent readings represent more than just a bump," Powell said in prepared remarks at a Stanford University event. "Given the strength of the economy and progress in inflation so far, we have time to let the incoming data guide our decisions on policy."

That compares to remarks from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, who cast a hawkish tone this morning and said he foresaw just one rate cut by the end of the year. Fed Governor Adriana Kugler is scheduled to speak after the closing bell.

Investors are continuing to push back on their expectations for an interest rate cut. Markets are pricing in a 62% chance the Fed could cut rates at least once by June, according to the CME FedWatch tool, down from 74% odds priced in a month ago.

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"The narrative of falling inflation and imminent Fed rate cuts that drove the stock market's first quarter gains is wobbling in the second quarter," Yung-Yu Ma, the chief investment officer of BMO Wealth Management, said in a note on Wednesday. "We expect more of a market consolidation instead of a correction. The stock market doesn't need Fed rate cuts or even falling inflation, but it's also not in a robust position to quickly digest risks that could rise from accelerating inflation ... or rising long-term interest rates."

Here's where US indexes stood at the 4 p.m. closing bell on Wednesday:

Here's what else happened today:

In commodities, bonds, and crypto:

  • West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 0.40% to $85.49 a barrel. Brent crude, the international benchmark, ticked higher 0.04% to $89.39 a barrel.
  • Gold edged up 0.66% to $2,295.51 per ounce.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield traded relatively flat around 4.357%.
  • Bitcoin dipped 0.32% to $65,891.
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