+

Cookies on the Business Insider India website

Business Insider India has updated its Privacy and Cookie policy. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the better experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we\'ll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies on the Business Insider India website. However, you can change your cookie setting at any time by clicking on our Cookie Policy at any time. You can also see our Privacy Policy.

Close
HomeQuizzoneWhatsappShare Flash Reads
 

Ray Dalio sees these classic early signs of a US recession and expects the economy to get worse over the next 2 years

Sep 28, 2022, 14:03 IST
Business Insider
Ray Dalio.Eoin Noonan/Web Summit via Getty Images
  • Bridgewater's Ray Dalio says the US is showing the hallmark signs of a recession.
  • He added that the economic picture could worsen for the next two years.
Advertisement

Billionaire investor Ray Dalio sees the classic early warning signs of a recession in the US and expects the economic picture to get worse over the next two years.

The Bridgewater Associates founder told MarketWatch on Wednesday that given rising interest rates meant to tame record-high inflation — coupled with other factors like the Russia's invasion of Ukraine rattling energy markets — the US economy has more room for further pain.

"I think it's going to get worse into '23 and '24, which has implications for elections," Dalio said.

He pointed to key red flags, namely drawdowns in cash balances that had been built up earlier, the contraction of both the housing and automotive sectors, as well as a rise in credit delinquency rates.

"We are right now very close to a zero-percent growth," Dalio said.

Advertisement

The central bank, lead by Chairman Jerome Powell, has remained consistent in its messaging that the Fed prioritizes reining in inflation back down toward its 2% target over economic growth.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced another 75-basis-point increase in benchmark rates, while also signaling that additional hikes would follow in future meetings.

Speaking before the Fed's policy announcement, Dalio said the Fed has a tradeoff between strengthening the economy and controlling inflation.

"They will tighten monetary policy and take away credit until the economic pain is greater than the inflation pain," he said.

You are subscribed to notifications!
Looks like you've blocked notifications!
Next Article