Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now that the election is over
- Kalshi and Polymarket made waves this election as billions of dollars were bet on the outcome.
- Kalshi launched election betting for US citizens after winning court approval in early October.
Billions of dollars were bet on the presidential election outcome via prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
It was a new phenomenon in election cycles, with Kalshi receiving court approval in early October to launch election-based betting contracts for US citizens.
Betting sites garnered particular attention for diverging from the polls, though the prediction markets turned out to be largely correct. Trump was favored to win the election throughout the month of October on Kalshi and Polymarket, while most polls had the candidates locked in a dead heat.
With the election over, money is now flowing into other bets on the platform, from everything from Rotten Tomato movie scores to the winner of the upcoming Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul fight.
Here are some of the most popular bets on Kalshi and Polymarket now that the election is over.
Super Bowl Champion 2025
Current odds: Chiefs (18¢), Lions (16¢), Ravens (13¢), Bills (9¢), 49ers (8¢), Eagles (7¢), Packers (3¢), Commanders (3¢), Steelers (3¢)
Betting volume: $751.0 million
Will Biden finish his term?
Current odds: Yes (93¢), No (8¢)
Betting volume: $33.3 million
Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson: Who will win?
Current odds: Jake Paul (64¢), Mike Tyson (27¢), Draw (11¢)
Betting volume: $5.0 million
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Current odds: Yes (73¢), No (30¢)
Betting volume: $3.5 million
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Current odds: John Thune (64¢), Rick Scott (26¢), John Cornyn (11¢)
Betting volume: $2.0 million
Next James Bond actor?
Current odds: Aaron Taylor-Johnson (9¢), Henry Cavill (5¢), Damson Idris (3¢), Rege-Jean Page (1¢), Cosmo Jarvis (1¢), Tom Hardy (1¢), Other (80¢)
Betting volume: $448,398
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
Current odds: Yes (12¢), No (90¢)
Betting volume: $397,339
Who will be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?
Current odds: Taylor Swift (78¢), Beyonce (21¢), Rihanna (2¢), Other (1¢)
Betting volume: $387,787
"Wicked" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
Current odds: Above 95 (19¢), Above 90 (48¢), Above 85 (75¢), Above 80 (78¢), Above 75 (80¢)
Betting volume: $299,765
Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?
Current odds: Yes (9¢), No (93¢)
Betting Volume: $162,099