Coinbase tumbles 19% in trading debut as valuation hovers around $100 billion
- Coinbase on Wednesday tumbled as much as 19% in its trading debut on the Nasdaq.
- The direct listing had a $250-per-share reference price, and opened at $381 before hitting an intraday high of $429.54. It then reversed gains, trading as low as $310.
- Coinbase is the first major cryptocurrency exchange to go public.
Shares of Coinbase tumbled as much as 19% on Wednesday in its hotly anticipated trading debut on the Nasdaq before paring back gains.
The direct listing had a $250-per-share reference price, and opened at $381 before hitting an intraday high of $429.54, which was 13% above its opening price.
The stock then reversed course and traded as low as $310. It was at $343.90 as of 3:25 p.m. in New York.
The $381-per-share opening price put Coinbase's valuation at $99.5 billion, giving it a bigger market capitalization than such established US companies as General Motors, FedEx, and Gilead Sciences.
Pierce Crosby, Head of TradingView US, said he's not surprised by the first few hours of Coinbase trading, especially because direct listings tend to be more volatile than traditional IPOs.
He said the initial run-up to $429 was probably driven by retail-investor anticipation, and told Insider that roughly 20% of TradingView's total 4.5 million site visitors in the US were viewing Coinbase's charts at the start of trading.
Although Coinbase is now trading below its opening price, Crosby expects Coinbase to trade roughly between $360 and $400 over the next few days. He also expects more institutional funds to start making allocations to Coinbase in the near future.
Coinbase is the first major cryptocurrency exchange to go public, and investors see its direct listing as a major milestone for bringing cryptocurrencies in the mainstream. Bitcoin hovered near an all-time high above $63,000 when trading commenced, having hit a record of $64,869.77 earlier in the day.
"We look at the Coinbase listing as an additional validation of the space, and a major PR opportunity for the entire industry to shine as the future of finance," said Alex Mashinsky, CEO and co-founder of Celsius, a cryptocurrency yield-earning platform.
He added: "Coinbase has more users and more revenues than many of the largest Wall Street players and is more profitable than any major exchange, this validation puts most skeptics at a crossroads having to re-evaluate their denial and frustration with the disruption coming at them from all sides."
Coinbase's direct listing comes on the heels of its blowout first quarter earnings. The cryptocurrency exchange and brokerage revealed first quarter revenue grew 840% year-over-year to $1.8 billion, compared to the $1.3 billion for all of 2020.
The results led DA Davidson analyst Gil Luria to up his price target for COIN to $440 from $195 .Though other analysts caution that Coinbase has hefty competition.
David Trainer, New Constructs CEO, said in a stock research note that Coinbase's $100 billion expected valuation implies that Coinbase will become the largest exchange in the world by revenue, which isn't guaranteed given the existence of competitors like Gemini, Kraken, and Binance.
In the earnings report, the company warned that its financial results have fluctuated drastically on swings in crypto trading volume-something investors should keep an eye on, Trainer said.
"Trading volume, and therefore transaction revenue currently fluctuate, potentially materially, with Bitcoin price and crypto asset volatility. This revenue unpredictability, in turn, impacts our profitability on a quarter-to-quarter basis," Coinbase acknowledged in its prospectus.