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Cathie Wood's Ark Invest expects Tesla to soar to $3,000 per share by 2025 on robotaxi service

Mar 22, 2021, 00:23 IST
Business Insider
David McNew/AFP via Getty; ARK Invest; Patricia De Melo Moreira/AFP via Getty; Bitcoin; Samantha Lee/Insider
  • Cathie Wood's Ark Invest now expects Tesla to soar 359% to $3,000 per share by 2025.
  • Much of the upside for Tesla is predicated on its ability to launch an autonomous robotaxi service, according to Ark.
  • In a bear and bull case scenario, Ark expects Tesla to trade in between $1,400 and $4,000 per share, respectively.
  • Sign up here for our daily newsletter, 10 Things Before the Opening Bell.
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Cathie Wood's Ark Invest is out with a new eye-popping price target for Tesla, and investors are taking notice due to the accuracy of its previous price predictions on the electric vehicle manufacturer.

Ark now expects Tesla to hit $3,000 per share by 2025, representing a potential upside of 359% from Friday's close and a market valuation of about $3 trillion. That's a sizable increase from its previous 2024 price target of $1,400.

The price target incorporates expectations that Tesla will launch an autonomous robotaxi service built upon its full self-driving tech platform, which could bring in as much as $327 billion in revenue, according to Ark.

"In preparation for its robotaxi service, Tesla could launch a human-driven ride-hail network first, delivering a highly profitable recurring revenue stream and limiting the downside of a failed autonomous service," Ark explained.

In its bear case, Ark expects Tesla to trade to $1,500 per share as it sells 5 million cars per year. In its bull case, Ark expects Tesla to trade to $4,000 per share as it sells upwards of 10 million cars per year. In 2020, Tesla sold about 500,000 vehicles.

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The valuation model utilized by Ark incorporates Tesla's relatively new insurance business, but doesn't include its energy storage and solar business, nor its $1.5 billion allocation to bitcoin.

Tesla remains the largest holding for Ark Invest across all of its ETF strategies, and this isn't the first time the investment management firm had a sky-high price target for Tesla.

In 2018, Wood said Tesla would hit $4,000 when the stock was trading at a split-adjusted price of about $250. The stock went on to trade at a split-adjusted price of $4,500 in early 2021, two years ahead of schedule.

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