- Fundstrat's
Tom Lee says any dip in the stock market should be a buying opportunity. - A large stimulus, declining COVID-19 cases, and millennial investors are a few reasons Lee says
stocks have positive support in the near-term. - Sign up here for our daily newsletter, 10 Things Before the Opening Bell.
Rising
In a recent note the head of research said many clients are nervous that the bond market may reach a "breaking point" during
Here are Lee's 7 reasons why stocks have positive support in the near term.
- Washington is moving forward with a large fiscal relief package of up to $1.9 trillion, with the house set to vote on the finalized bill this week. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has also made a "forceful case for" the stimulus, said Lee.
- The Federal Reserve has been vocal in its policy stance and last week's FOMC minutes affirmed this. The Fed is "patient," Lee added.
- The US economy is re-opening and economic momentum is strong. Lee noted that JPMorgan's chief economist Bruce Kasman recently said the US's V-shaped recovery will soon surpass China's.
- COVID-19 cases are declining. "There remains a substantial perception gap between policymakers/media and COVID-19 realized data, and a closing of this gap is positive for risk assets," said Lee. He notes that in the US, cases have been lower versus 7 days ago for the last 41 consecutive days. Lee expects daily cases to fall below 50,000 early this week.
- Lee highlighted that younger investors, particularly millennials are "steadily allocating" their portfolios to stocks. The surge in retail brokerage account opening is evidence of this, he said.
- Conditions for stocks are still favorable in relation to bonds, Lee said. "Bonds are becoming less attractive total return vehicles as inflationary expectations are increasing, boosting the attractiveness of equities."
- The CBOE volatility index, or VIX, is steadily declining. According to Lee, "periods of declining volatility historically lead to big equity gains, particularly for cyclicals."