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  4. RANKED: Every team at Euro 2020 by how likely they are to win soccer's biggest tournament of the pandemic era

RANKED: Every team at Euro 2020 by how likely they are to win soccer's biggest tournament of the pandemic era

Barnaby Lane   

RANKED: Every team at Euro 2020 by how likely they are to win soccer's biggest tournament of the pandemic era
Kylian Mbappe, Cristiano Ronaldo, Harry Kane, three stars expected to set Euro 2020 on fire.Getty/Franck Fife/Stu Forster/Sylvain Lefevre
  • Euro 2020, soccer's biggest tournament since the coronavirus pandemic began, starts on Friday June 11.
  • Ahead of the tournament, read Insider's guide to all 24 teams in Euro 2020 and their chances of winning.
  • We've ranked the sides by how far we think they'll get: group stages, last 16, quarterfinals, semis, or the final.

Group stage - North Macedonia

Group stage - North Macedonia
Getty/Soccrates Images

Group: C

Head coach: Igor Angelovski

FIFA world ranking: 62

Best ever tournament finish: N/A

North Macedonia may be small in stature, but the tiny landlocked nation is large in spirit.

Led by legendary striker Goran Pandev, Igor Angelovski's squad is dotted with talent, including Leeds ace Ezgjan Alioski, Napoli's Elif Elmas, and Levante midfielder Enis Bardhi.

The lowest ranked team at the tournament pulled off impressive wins over Latvia, Slovenia, Israel, and Kosovo in qualifying for its first ever major international competition, while it also recently beat Germany in World Cup qualifying.

Sadly, a tough group means it is unlikely to progress to the knockout stages.

Group stage - Finland

Group stage - Finland
Getty/MB Media

Group: B

Head coach: Markku Kanerva

FIFA world ranking: 54

Best ever tournament finish: N/A

Finland's qualification for its first ever major international tournament back in November 2019 sparked wild celebrations across the Nordic nation.

Unfortunately, it's unlikely there will be too much to celebrate this summer.

Finland find itself in a tough group alongside Belgium, Denmark, and Russia – all of whom should prove too much to handle for Markku Kanerva's debutantes.

Keep an eye out for Teemu Pukki though. The bearded striker finished the domestic season as the top overseas goalscorer in England's Championship, firing his club side Norwich to promotion.

Group stage - Hungary

Group stage - Hungary
Getty/Laszlo Szirtesi

Group: F

Head coach: Marco Rossi

FIFA world ranking: 37

Best ever tournament finish: Third (1964)

Poor Hungary couldn't have been given a more difficult group having been drawn against France, Portugal, and Germany.

Unfortunately for Marco Rossi's side, that means, despite the months, if not years of preparation, it's probably going home early.

The only real hope for it to make it out of its group is to pull off a shock win and then hope that the three other sides each defeat one another.

Group stage - Russia

Group stage - Russia
Getty/Attila Kisbenedek

Group: B

Head coach: Stanislav Cherchesov

FIFA world ranking: 38

Best ever tournament finish: Winner (1960)

Similarly to Finland, Russia will struggle to get out of group B.

Though Stanislav Cherchesov's side made it to the quarterfinals of the 2018 World Cup, held in Russia, it has been in poor form as of late.

Since November it has suffered defeats to Turkey, Slovakia, and Serbia – the latter of whom isn't even at Euro 2020, but still managed to beat Cherchesov's men 5-0.

Group stage - Slovakia

Group stage - Slovakia
Getty/Eurasia Sport Images

Group: E

Head coach: Stefan Tarkovic

FIFA world ranking: 36

Best ever tournament finish: Last 16 (2016)

Slovakia scraped into Euro 2020 by the skin of its teeth, beating Northern Ireland in extra time in the playoffs.

Since then, Stefan Tarkovic's side has managed to finish last in its UEFA Nations League group and has drawn with both Cyprus and Malta in its opening qualifying games for the 2022 World Cup.

The side relies heavily on rapidly-aging talisman Marek Hamsik, and Inter Milan defender Milan Skriniar.

With little other top tier talent to brag about, expect Slovakia to finish bottom of group E.

Group stage - Switzerland

Group stage - Switzerland
Getty/Urs Lindt

Group: A

Head coach: Vladimir Petkovic

FIFA world ranking: 13

Best ever tournament finish: Last 16 (2016)

Vladimir Petkovic has a tough task ahead of him if he wants his Switzerland side to better its exploits at both Euro 2016 and the 2018 World Cup, where it reached the last 16 on both occasions.

First choice centre back Fabian Schar, despite being selected, has spent most of the season injured, while Wolfsburg winger Renato Steffen has been forced to completely withdraw with an ankle injury. The injuries could throw a spanner into the works for Switzerland's plans to make it out of the group.

The Swiss' usual talisman, Xherdan Shaqiri, has also spent the last year watching from the sidelines at Liverpool, meaning he could lack match sharpness.

Group stage - Wales

Group stage - Wales
Getty/Stu Forster

Group: A

Head coach: Robert Page

FIFA world ranking: 17

Best ever tournament finish: Semifinal (2016)

No team who directly qualified for Euro 2020 scored less goals than Wales in qualifying. The side managed just 10 goals in 10 games.

Finding the net will be a problem again at the tournament, with manager Robert Page opting to include just two strikers in his squad in the form of Leeds' Tyler Roberts and Cardiff City's Kieffer Moore – who are will likely struggle against the continent's best defenders.

Gareth Bale will once again be Wales' talisman, but after a lackluster season at Tottenham, it is hard to see him dragging his country out of its group.

Group stage - Scotland

Group stage - Scotland
Getty/Soccrates Images

Group: D

Head coach: Steve Clarke

FIFA world ranking: 44

Best ever tournament finish: Group stage (1992, 1996)

Robust if unspectacular, Scotland's spine is made of experienced Premier League stars.

Full-backs Andrew Robertson and Kieran Tierney both offer defensive and attacking qualities in equal measure, while Manchester United's Scott McTominay gives Steve Clarke's men some mettle in the middle.

In the final third, the brilliant John McGinn of Aston Villa provides the creativity while Southampton's Che Adams – who only switched his allegiances from England in March – acts as a powerful yet skillful target man.

That being said, experience at a major tournament is non-existent within Clarke's squad, and it finds itself in a competitive group.

Last 16 - Czech Republic

Last 16 - Czech Republic
Getty/Adam Nurkiewicz

Group: D

Head coach: Jaroslav Silhavy

FIFA world ranking: 40

Best ever tournament finish: Winner (1976)

Though Croatia will be favourite to finish second in group D behind England, the Czech Republic should not be written off.

West Ham duo Tomas Soucek and Vladimir Coufal have both had excellent seasons in the Premier League and will be riding high coming into the tournament.

Striker Patrik Schick has also enjoyed a respectable season for Bayer Leverkusen, scoring 13 goals, while Sampdoria's Jakub Jankto is a pacy and tricky winger who knows how to cause damage in the final third.

Last 16 - Austria

Last 16 - Austria
Getty/Christian Hofer

Group: C

Head coach: Franco Foda

FIFA world ranking: 23

Best ever tournament finish: Group stage (2008, 2016)

Austria has never won a game at the European Championships, let alone made it out of its group.

This year, however, thanks to a relatively kind draw and an exciting group of players, that could change.

RB Leipzig's Marcel Sabitzer is a creative midfield force to reckon with, while his Red Bull teammate Konrad Laimer is a no-nonsense enforcer in the middle of the park.

Martin Hinteregger is a man mountain at the back; Marko Arnautovic provides aggression and trickery going forward; and captain David Alaba is the versatile glue that holds them all together.

Last 16 - Poland

Last 16 - Poland
Getty/Adam Nurkiewicz

Group: E

Head coach: Paolo Sousa

FIFA world ranking: 21

Best ever tournament finish: Quarterfinal (2016)

Since Euro 2016, Poland has lost a number of its most vital players.

Defender Lukasz Piszczek retired in 2018, winger Jakub Blaszczykowski, 35, is now past his best, as is West Bromwich Albion's Kamil Grosicki.

The big name that does remain is, of course, Robert Lewandowski. The 32-year-old striker, who scored 48 goals in all competitions this season for Bayern Munich, will carry the hopes of his nation almost solely on his shoulders.

Lewandowski's talent should be enough to propel Poland out of the group, but no further.

Last 16 - Ukraine

Last 16 - Ukraine
Getty/Maja Hitij

Group: C

Head coach: Andriy Shevchenko

FIFA world ranking: 24

Best ever tournament finish: Group stage (2012, 2016)

Ukraine was undefeated in qualifying, beating Portugal en route to finishing top of its group.

Though there are few household names in its squad, manager and Ukraine legend Andriy Shevchenko has built a tight knit and organized team that ais difficult to beat.

What could boost Ukraine further are the glimmers of creativity in its squad, most notably Atalanta's Ruslan Malinovskyi, who was one of the stand out players in Italy's Serie A this season.

Last 16 - Denmark

Last 16 - Denmark
Getty/Catherine Ivill

Group: B

Head coach: Kasper Hjulmand

FIFA world ranking: 10

Best ever tournament finish: Winner (1992)

Denmark boasts an extremely solid defence. Kasper Hjulmand's side conceded just six in Euro qualifying, while in its first three qualifying games for the 2022 World Cup, it has yet to let in a single goal.

Going forward, however, the Danes lack prowess. Striking duo Martin Braithwaite and Yussuf Poulsen have managed just seven league goals between them this season for FC Barcelona and RB Leipzig respectively.

Denmark should have enough quality to get out of their group, but going much further will prove difficult.

Last 16 - Croatia

Last 16 - Croatia
Getty/Ozan Kose

Group: D

Head coach: Zlatko Dalic

FIFA world ranking: 14

Best ever tournament finish: Quarterfinal (1996, 2008)

Croatia is an aging footballing nation.

Star midfielder Luka Modric is 35, Ivan Perisic is 32, goalkeeper Lovre Kalinic is 31, and defensive duo Domagoj Vida and Dejan Lovren are 32 and 31 respectively.

Zlatko Dalic's side made it to the final of the 2018 World Cup, but the 54-year-old coach admits a repeat performance this summer is unlikely.

"The primary goal is to reach the knockout stages," he said in May, according to The Telegraph.

"Our will-power and energy levels are the same as before the World Cup, but the atmosphere is different. The bar is too high and expectations are unrealistic now whereas no one had any before."

Last 16 - Germany

Last 16 - Germany
Getty/Christian Kaspar-Bartke

Group: F

Head coach: Joachim Low

FIFA world ranking: 12

Best ever tournament finish: Winner (1972, 1980, 1996)

Germany is in less than ideal shape coming into Euro 2020.

Not only has its long time manager Joachim Low already agreed to resign after the tournament, the team also finds itself in an absolute rut in terms of form.

After being eliminated from the 2018 World Cup at the group stage, it has struggled ever since.

In its last five games, Germany has lost to minnows North Macedonia, drawn with Denmark, and been thumped 6-0 by Spain.

Germany is — World Cup 2018 aside — a big tournament team, and while it has not won the European Championships in a long time, it's made it to at least the semifinals on each of the last three occasions.

Last 16 - England

Last 16 - England
Getty/Laurence Griffiths

Group: D

Head coach: Gareth Southgate

FIFA world ranking: 4

Best ever tournament finish: Semifinal (1968, 1996)

Expectations for England at Euro 2020 are high, and rightly so. The team had its best international tournament in nearly three decades at the 2018 World Cup, and has only improved since then.

Gareth Southgate's side boasts a plethora of attacking talent in the form of Harry Kane, Jadon Sancho, Mason Mount, Phil Foden, Marcus Rashford, and Jack Grealish, all of whom can change games and score goals.

Defensively, however, England are a little shaky, with no clear first choice goalkeeper and a lack of solid defensive midfield options.

The Three Lions should ease out of their group. That's when things get tricky. Winning the group would see them them face either France, Germany, or Portugal in the last 16. All three will pose England major problems.

Quarterfinals - Sweden

Quarterfinals - Sweden
Getty/Michael Campanella

Group: E

Head coach: Janne Andersson

FIFA world ranking: 18

Best ever tournament finish: Semifinal (1992)

Sweden's hopes of progressing past the group stages for the first time since 2004 were dealt a hammer blow when it was announced in May that Zlatan Ibrahimovic will miss the tournament with a knee problem.

The enigmatic striker, his country's top ever scorer, had come out of international retirement after a five year hiatus just two months prior.

Now, Janne Andersson will instead have to look to Real Sociedad youngster Alexander Isak to fire his team out of group C.

It's a big ask for a 21-year-old, but with 17 goals this season and Real Madrid circling, don't put it past him.

Quarterfinals - Turkey

Quarterfinals - Turkey
Getty/Fran Santiago

Group: A

Head coach: Senol Gunes

FIFA world ranking: 29

Best ever tournament finish: Semifinal (2008)

Turkey finished second in its qualifying group, just two points behind 2018 World Cup winner France. The Turkish side lost just one of its 10 games and conceded only three goals.

At the heart of its solid defence is the colossal Caglar Soyuncu of Leicester City, who is partnered by Juventus man mountain Merih Demiral and flanked by flying LOSC Lille fullback Mehmet Zeki Celik.

Going forward, Senol Gunes' men have plenty of firepower too. Lille duo Burak Yilmaz and Yusuf Yazici scored 36 goals between them this season to fire their side to an unlikely Ligue 1 title. Recreate that form at Euro 2020, and things could be very interesting for Turkey.

A dark horse, Turkey currently boasts its strongest team ever, and has previous tournament pedigree, reaching the semis of the Euros in 2008, and a World Cup semi in 2002.

Quarterfinals - Spain

Quarterfinals - Spain
Getty/Matthias Hangst

Group: E

Head coach: Luis Enrique

FIFA world ranking: 6

Best ever tournament finish: Winner (1964, 2008, 2012)

Having a Spain squad without any Real Madrid players is like having a hotdog without any sauce.

However that's what manager Luis Enrique takes to Euro 2020, with the 51-year-old having chose to omit from his squad all of Sergio Ramos, Dani Carvajal, Marco Asensio, Isco, Nacho Fernandez, Lucas Vazquez, and Alvaro Odriozola.

Fortunately, the Spanish have just about enough talent to compensate, and its defence has been boosted by the addition of Manchester City's Aymeric Laporte, who switched allegiances from France just in time for selection.

Still, what's left is a little flavorless and may not quite hit the spot.

Quarterfinals - Belgium

Quarterfinals - Belgium
Getty/John Berry

Group: B

Head coach: Roberto Martinez

FIFA world ranking: 1

Best ever tournament finish: Second (1980)

Euro 2020 is probably the last chance for Belgium's golden generation to pick up a piece of major international silverware, and as both a bookmakers favorite and the world's number one ranked team, they should have a fighting chance on paper.

Many of the country's key players, most notably its defenders like Toby Alderweireld, are approaching the twilight of their careers, while star man Eden Hazard is a fraction of the player he once was.

That being said, Roberto Martinez's side breezed through qualifying, winning all 10 of its games, scoring 40 goals and conceding just three.

Carry on it that vein, and most opponents will have a tough time stopping the Red Devils. While the side is packed with talent, a difficult bracket for the Belgians means we think they'll fall at the quarterfinal stage.

Semifinals - Italy

Semifinals - Italy
Getty/Claudio Villa

Group: A

Head coach: Roberto Mancini

FIFA world ranking: 7

Best ever tournament finish: Winner (1968)

2018 saw Italy fail to qualify for the World Cup for the first time in 60 years. Now, under the guidance of former Manchester City boss Roberto Mancini, the Azzurri is back on the global stage with a point to prove.

Since Mancini replaced Gian Piero Ventura in 2018, Italy has won 21 of 30 games, including 10 wins in 10 qualifying group matches.

Clear favorites to win its group, Italy boasts some of the hottest young talent in world soccer, including scintillating Juventus forward Federico Chiesa and Inter Milan duo Alessandro Bastoni and Nicolo Barella.

Semifinals - Netherlands

Semifinals - Netherlands
Getty/Sebastian Widmann

Group: C

Head coach: Frank de Boer

FIFA world ranking: 16

Best ever tournament finish: Winner (1988)

A chronic underperformer at major tournaments over the last decade, Euro 2020 promised to be the Netherlands' best chance of a trophy in a long time.

That was until its star player and captain Virgil van Dijk suffered a season ending injury back in October.

The Liverpool defender's absence will be a huge blow for manager Frank de Boer, who will now have to rely on the out-of-sorts Matthijs de Ligt to lead the back line.

The Oranje do, however, have plenty of dynamism in midfield and firepower up front, so De Boer will be hoping his team can blow its opponents out of the water.

Finalists - Portugal

Finalists - Portugal
Getty/Pedja Milosavljevic

Group: F

Head coach: Fernando Santos

FIFA world ranking: 5

Best ever tournament finish: Winner (2016)

Portugal's current squad is much, much better than the one that saw it triumph in France five years ago.

Though Cristiano Ronaldo's stock may have fallen, the reigning champion has since added all of Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva, Joao Felix, Joao Cancelo, Ruben Dias, Ruben Neves, Andre Silva, and Diogo Jota to its roster.

Fernando Santos' side is likely to finish second in its group behind France, which then could set up a mouth watering tie with England in the last-16.

Winner - France

Winner - France
Getty/Linnea Rheborg

Group: F

Head coach: Didier Deschamps

FIFA world ranking: 2

Best ever tournament finish: Winner (1984, 2000)

It's difficult to envisage anybody stopping France from winning Euro 2020.

The strength in depth in the reigning world champion's squad borders on unfair, with manager Didier Deschamps having at least two world class players available to him in every single position.

While strong all over the park, its attack is its crown jewel, which will be led by the irrepressible Kylian Mbappe, who became the youngest scorer in World Cup final history in 2018, and has only improved since.

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