NFL teams are tripping all over each other to get the top QB prospects and it could lead to an unprecedented run in the draft
- The 2021 NFL Draft could see an unprecedented run on quarterbacks.
- Several experts have mock drafts showing four quarterbacks being taken with the first four picks.
- It will likely come down to a potential trade between Carolina and Miami.
The 2021 NFL Draft is just weeks away, and it's looking more and more likely that we could see an unprecedented run of quarterbacks with the first four picks.
According to the mock drafts of both Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay at ESPN, quarterbacks will go with the first, second, third, and fourth overall picks of the first round - something that has never happened before. Twice before, in 1971 and 1999, teams took quarterbacks with the first three picks.
With several teams in need of new franchise quarterbacks, a perfect storm is brewing at the top of the draft, and the top four teams are all looking for the same thing.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars
Barring the most shocking trade in draft day history, the Jags will be taking Clemson's Trevor Lawrence first overall.
It's a match made in heaven, with the Jaguars' new head coach Urban Meyer looking to start his run with his guy. Lawrence has seemingly been the top prospect in his draft class since he stepped on a football field his freshman year with the Tigers.
2. New York Jets
The Jets are now three years into the Sam Darnold experience, and the results have not been great. You could argue that Darnold's biggest moment as a Jet came when he was caught on a hot mic saying that he was "seeing ghosts" during a "Monday Night Football" game.
The past three years of Jets mediocrity are not Darnold's fault alone, but with a new coaching staff taking control of the team this year, New York might be ready for a fresh start with BYU quarterback Zach Wilson. He is now predominantly seen as the de facto second overall pick of this year's draft.
Even if the Jets stick with Darnold and help him out by beefing up his surrounding roster, their best shot at doing that would be to trade out of the second spot in the draft to a team that was eager to grab Wilson. As things stand, anything other than a Lawrence-Wilson start to the draft would be quite a shock, even if the Jets aren't the team making the second pick.
3. San Francisco 49ers
Picking third are the 49ers, who traded up into the spot on Friday, giving the Miami Dolphins the No. 12 pick, a 2021 third-round pick, and two future first-round picks. Given the price that the 49ers were willing to pay, it seems clear that they are targeting a quarterback, no matter how much they might insist that Jimmy Garoppolo is their guy.
4. Atlanta Falcons
Picking fourth are the Falcons, who are also likely ready to look towards the future. While Matt Ryan is still under contract with the team, he will be 36 by the time the 2021 season kicks off, and if there is a prospect that the Falcons believe could benefit under a year or two of Ryan's tutelage, grabbing him at four would be the play.
The quarterback draft class is talented enough for all four teams to get their guy.
In a turn of great luck for the four franchises picking at the top of the draft, there just so happen to be four prospects in this year's quarterback class deserving of an early first-round selection.
Lawrence is still the top man on the totem pole, with Wilson right behind him according to most draft previews, but Ohio State's Justin Fields and North Dakota State's Trey Lance are also in the mix near the top of the draft.
More importantly, each of these players fits in pretty smoothly with what each team is trying to do in the coming season. Lawrence and Wilson are both as pro-ready as a college quarterback can be, and we've seen teams have success right away in trusting their young quarterbacks in recent years.
Meanwhile, Trey Lance feels like a great match for the Falcons, as he might benefit from a year of watching Matt Ryan leading the team. If Justin Fields and the 49ers can find some common ground, we could have four matches.
Even outside of the top four, there is plenty of room for more action.
The San Francisco 49ers made their move up into the top five, paying a high price to secure the No. 3 pick and with it the right to the player of their choosing. With several weeks to go before the start of the first round, there's still plenty of time for more teams to decide to make a move.
Should the New York Jets decide that they want to give Darnold another year and instead focus on rebuilding the core of the team surrounding him, they could demand a king's ransom for the No. 2 overall pick. They could find several teams - the Patriots, Panthers, and Broncos jump to mind - interested in making a deal.
Similarly, if the draft day comes around, and the Falcons don't feel the need to grab a quarterback at No. 4, they could make a deal with a team who realizes that the player of their dreams is still available.
The NFL Draft can make or break teams looking to step into the future, and this April could wind up as a huge moment for several teams at the top of the board.