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Snap is getting destroyed after its earnings disaster

Aug 25, 2024, 19:31 IST
Thomson ReutersTraders gather at the post where Snap Inc. is traded on the floor of the NYSEOh, Snap.

The newly-public company plummeted 23% to $17.75 per share during the first day of regular trading following a disappointing earnings report that saw user growth slow to its lowest pace in years.

The stock is now trading just above the initial public offering price of $17. Snap also missed consensus forecasts for adjusted EPS and revenue.

But it wasn't all bad news for stock investors - short sellers are poised to make a killing on the share plunge. The day before the report, they pushed bearish wagers on the stock to the highest since Snap's March 1 initial public offering, selling a whopping $100 million short over the prior week alone, according to data compiled by the financial analytics firm S3 Partners.

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It's sweet redemption for the bearish Snap speculators, who had lost $28.4 million on a mark-to-market basis betting on the company following the IPO, S3 data show.

On the other side of the ledger is Snap cofounder and CEO Evan Spiegel. Worth roughly $5 billion heading into the earnings release, according to wealth rankings compiled by Bloomberg, Spiegel is out about $1 billion following the stock decline.

As Spiegel and his Snap colleagues look to rebound, Wall Street analysts are split on whether they'll be able to pull it off.

With a price target of $14, Nomura sees Snap sliding further, citing "incrementally fierce competition from deeper-pocketed rivals including Facebook."

Pivotal Research is even more pessimistic, calling for Snap to fall all the way to $9 per share. They noted a "surprising element of seasonality" in the business, while lamenting the risk that Snap won't grow as much as the firm previously expected.

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Some of the biggest banks on Wall Street line up on the other side of the Snap debate. Goldman Sachs has a price target of $27, and believes the company's "audience and engagement represent a unique asset that will benefit from growth and diversification of internet usage and advertiser adoption as both mature."

Citi shares a similar sentiment. While the firm acknowledges Snap's first earnings report will be a short-term hurdle, it sees "the low rate of monetization and the high rate of engagement enabling revenue growth and margin leverage over the long-term."

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