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The 5 upcoming movies most at risk at the box office due to the coronavirus
"Bloodshot"
"Mulan"
Disney's live-action "Mulan" remake hits theaters on March 27 in the US and other territories, but its release was not confirmed by China before the country's 70,000 movie theaters closed due to coronavirus concerns.
Shawn Robbins, the Boxoffice.com chief analyst, told Business Insider that "Mulan" is "tailor-made for a big China release" and that the region could be its biggest market "given the film's cultural roots and Disney's own success with previous films there."
Boxoffice.com is projecting "Mulan" to open with $65 million in the US, but with a hefty $200 million budget, a delayed China release could be difficult to bounce back from.
Paul Dergarabedian called the situation "unprecedented" and that the movie's postponement in China "will, at least in the short term, have an unavoidable negative impact on the film's overall global performance."
"Black Widow"
Marvel Cinematic Universe movies are huge draws in China. Most recently, "Captain Marvel" grossed $154 million there. "Spider-Man: Far From Home" "Avengers: Endgame" was the region's highest-grossing Hollywood movie ever with $614 million. And "Spider-Man: Far From Home" grossed just shy of $200 million in China.
So the global box office of "Black Widow" could take a hit as it likely won't be coming to China any time soon. Fortunately, the movie's domestic box-office prospects are looking positive. Boxoffice.com is projecting it to make $115 million when it opens in the US on May 1.
"F9"
Vin Diesel has another major movie coming out soon with "F9," the ninth movie in the "Fast and Furious" series.
The last two "Fast" entries, 2015's "Furious 7" and 2017's "The Fate of the Furious," both grossed over $1 billion worldwide and both earned nearly $400 million in China.
"F9" might have to rely on the franchise's global popularity for a boost at the box office. It opens on May 22 in the US and other markets. But even if theaters in China open within the next two months, it's unclear how willing audiences will be to head to the theater right away, or if "F9" would even still be released in the region at that time.
"Jungle Cruise"
Disney's "Jungle Cruise," based on the theme-park ride, doesn't arrive in US theaters until July 24 and it's unclear when the movie would hit China if theaters were to reopen around that time.
But if the movie's China release is drastically impacted by coronavirus concerns, it could be a huge blow, as star Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson is a big draw for Chinese audiences.
Johnson has propelled would-be flops like "Rampage" and "Skyscraper" to global success, mostly because of his popularity in China. Both of those movies made more in China than they did in the US. With Disney's backing and Johnson's star power, "Jungle Cruise" could be a hit in China — eventually.
But it's worth noting that the ride's absence in Chinese culture could be an obstacle the movie will have to overcome. Shanghai Disneyland does not feature the Jungle Cruise ride.
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