Penn State* (-40) over Rutgers
Rutgers went a miserable 3-8 against the spread this year, with some bettors cashing in against them week after week. I was a bit more hesitant to fade the Scarlet Knights at big numbers, but now that we've reached our last chance of the season to bet against them, I can't resist.
Penn State's defense should swallow Rutgers whole, and the Nittany Lions will want to put on a show for the home crowd and possibly run up the score in a game that should allow for some seniors to get both playing time and touchdowns.
Ohio State (-9) over Michigan*
Despite being possibly the biggest rivalry in college football, Michigan-Ohio State has been a pretty lopsided affair in recent years. Known simply as "The Game," the Buckeyes have not lost since 2011, and four of their past five victories have come by double digits.
This is likely the best Ohio State team that has ever rolled into The Big House, and as sweet as an upset would be, I don't think Michigan has the horses to keep pace.
Oregon* (-19.5) over Oregon State
Oregon may have missed out on the college football playoff with their loss to Arizona State last week. However, the Ducks can still secure a likely spot in the Rose Bowl as long as they win on Saturday, and they've made a habit of beating up on Oregon State in recent years at the game known as "Civil War."
In their past two meetings, Oregon has outscored Oregon State a combined 124-25, and I see no reason for that trend not to continue this year.
Georgia (-28) over Georgia Tech*
Motivation is a dangerous thing to play with in rivalry games — a matchup called "Clean, Old-Fashioned Hate" explains itself in that regard.
Still, the Bulldogs have everything to play for in this game, while the Yellow Jackets have known they were in the midst of a rebuilding year. I believe these games tend to stay close throughout or be settled in a jiffy, and this weekend I'm leaning the latter.
Miami (-9) over Duke*
Miami got embarrassed last weekend by FIU and now needs one more win to secure a winning record on the season. Duke has been in a free-fall in recent weeks, having lost five straight games, four of which came by double digits.
This feels like a spot where the Hurricanes take out their frustrations on a Duke team that can do little to stop them.
LSU* (-17) over Texas A&M
Last year LSU lost a jaw-dropping seven-overtime game to Texas A&M, 74-72. The Tigers have not lost since, and as one of the best teams in the country this year, this is the perfect spot for Joe Burrow and company to get their revenge.