- Rising temperatures and carbon dioxide levels could make allergies worse for millions of people.
- A new study projects that
pollen seasons will lengthen, with up to 200% more pollen by 2100.
Millions of Americans may find themselves sneezing, wiping their runny noses, and even suffering asthma attacks more often in coming decades.
That's because rising global temperatures and increasing
That's bad
"We think of
Already, pollen season is getting longer. It has lengthened by about 20 days in the last three decades, with a 21% increase in pollen quantity, according to a 2021 study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
The new study adds to a growing body of research, which warns that trend will continue.
Different plants' pollen seasons may stretch so far that they overlap
As spring brings warmer weather, it triggers various grasses, plants, and trees to produce pollen. When baseline temperatures get higher, however, they induce pollen bursts much earlier in the year.
When warm temperatures last longer into the fall, it extends the pollen season for highly allergenic plants like ragweed. Higher levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can also lead plants to produce greater volumes of pollen.
In the new study, University of Michigan atmospheric scientist Allison Steiner and graduate student Yingxiao Zhang ran computer models on 15 of the most common North American pollens, with projected changes in temperature and precipitation. The models showed how those factors might affect pollen production in the final 20 years of the 21st century. They compared those estimates to actual pollen data from 1995 through 2014.
Different trees normally produce pollen at different times of year — maple first, followed by oak and cottonwood in the Northeast, for instance. But Steiner and Zhang's models showed some of those pollen seasons stretching into each other as warmer temperatures cause them to last longer.
Such overlapping seasons could "multiply the misery" for people with allergies, Kinney said.
"Pollen-induced respiratory allergies are getting worse with