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9 charts reveal how outbreaks in US coronavirus hot spots have progressed daily since the beginning of March

A skateboarder wearing a mask rides down the boardwalk on April 02, 2020 in Miami Beach, Florida.Cliff Hawkins/Getty

The US has experienced a larger outbreak of coronavirus cases than any other country, reporting more than 788,000 coronavirus cases and 42,000 deaths, but experts have predicted that some states are approaching — or have already hit — their peaks.

States like New York and California, which saw their first cases sooner and proactively implemented statewide lockdowns, are beginning to see daily death counts and hospitalizations flatten or even decline. As of Friday, 16,967 New Yorkers were hospitalized with COVID-19, down 349 from Thursday and, marking the fifth straight day where hospitalizations dropped.

However, states like Florida and Massachusetts may not see their peak until after May 2, according to a model from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IMHE).

Predicting the arrival of state's "peak" depends on what's being measured — cases, deaths, and hospitalizations are common indicators of how the virus is spreading. Some models also account for how well people adhere to social-distancing guidelines and stay-at-home orders, which create wide ranges in timing.

So while case and death counts in some states offer some hope, experts warn that a flattened curve could spring up again where lockdowns end too soon. Manhattan internist Holly Phillips told Business Insider that areas under lockdown and seeing peak surges, like New York City, should still be prepared for at least another four to eight weeks of social distancing.

The following charts illustrate how the virus has spread since March 1 across nine states that are hot spots for coronavirus outbreaks: California, Florida, Illinois, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania.

Read the original article on Business Insider
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