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POLL: Brexit is on

Mar 23, 2016, 15:22 IST

: Four month old Harry Pettie waves his Union Jack as he waits for Queen Elizabeth II and Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh to arrive at Tweedbank Station on September 9, 2015 in Tweedbank, Scotland. Today, Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II becomes the longest reigning monarch in British history overtaking her great-great grandmother Queen Victoria's record by one day. The Queen has reigned for a total of 63 years and 217 days. Accompanied by her husband, the Duke of Edinburgh and Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, she will officially open the new Scottish Border's Railway which runs from the capital to Tweedbank.Chris Jackson/Getty Images

A new poll shows support for Britain leaving the EU now stands at 43% - that's 2% ahead of support for remaining in. The ICM poll of 2,000 people was carried out over the weekend, and once again shows that a Brexit is becoming the more likely outcome when voters go to the polls on June 23.

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The poll was carried out as Britain's ruling Conservative party started to descend into civil war following the resignation of former Tory leader Iain Duncan Smith (IDS) from his role as welfare secretary.

IDS is prominent eurosceptic and after his departure, bookmakers had already shortened the odds of a Brexit happening. The theory is that the more vocal Tory eurosceptics become against their pro-EU leader David Cameron, the worse it will be for the Remain campaign.

The poll was also carried out before yesterday's terror attacks in Brussels which killed at least 30 people. Following the attacks, bookmakers narrowed their odds again for a Brexit - which means they believe terror attacks in other EU countries are likely to push people towards voting for Leave.

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