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  5. Results: Republican author J.D. Vance defeats Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan in US Senate election

Results: Republican author J.D. Vance defeats Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan in US Senate election

Madison Hall   

Results: Republican author J.D. Vance defeats Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan in US Senate election
PoliticsPolitics2 min read
  • Republican author and venture capitalist J.D. Vance faced off against Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan in Ohio.
  • Despite Ryan's large financial lead, experts said Vance had a better chance of winning.

Republican J.D. Vance defeated Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan in Ohio to represent the state in the US Senate.

Republican Sen. Rob Portman has been a part of the Senate since 2011, announced in January 2021 that he would not be running for a third term, leaving the seat up for grabs in 2022.

2022 General Embeds

Ohio's US Senate race candidates

Vance is a venture capitalist, veteran, and author who rose to prominence following the publication of his book, "Hillbilly Elegy," which delves into Vance's childhood and upbringing in Ohio.

Vance won the Republican nomination in a crowded seven-candidate GOP primary race, winning 32.2% of the overall vote. Vance, who received an endorsement from President Donald Trump in the run-up to the primary election, previously compared Trump to "America's Hitler" in private messages with his former roommate.

At a rally in September, the former president made fun of Vance and accused him of showering him with flattery in exchange for the president's support.

"J.D. is kissing my ass he wants my support so much," Trump said in Youngstown, Ohio.

Ryan, Vance's general election challenger, represented Ohio districts in the US House of Representatives since 2003. He represented the state's 17th Congressional District for 10 years before switching to the 13th Congressional District in 2013 following redistricting.

Ryan handily defeated the two other Democratic candidates in Ohio's primary election, bringing in 69.6% of the overall vote. In 2020, prior to running for the Senate, Ryan ran for the Democratic presidential nomination. His presidential campaign failed to gain traction, ultimately leading him to withdraw from the race and run for re-election in the US House.

Ohio's voting history

The state voted for President Donald Trump over Joe Biden by about 8 percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. Ohio's been a swing state for decades, having voted Republicans and Democrats for president four times each over the last eight presidential election cycles.

The money race

According to OpenSecrets, Ryan raised $47.3 million, spent $44.5 million, and had $2.8 million of cash on hand as of October 19. Vance raised $12 million, spent $9 million, and had $2.9 million of cash left on hand as of October 19.

As of late October, several dozen super PACs, national party committees, politically active nonprofits, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend about $90 million to advocate for or against candidates in this race, including during the race's primary phase. The vast majority of this spending benefitted Vance, with the Senate Leadership Fund, a Republican-backing super PAC, alone accounting for nearly one-third of the spending.

What experts say

The race between Vance and Ryan was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, "lean Republican" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.


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