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RESULTS: 8-term incumbent Rep. Michael McCaul projected to win Texas' 10th Congressional District

Madison Hall,Grace Panetta   

RESULTS: 8-term incumbent Rep. Michael McCaul projected to win Texas' 10th Congressional District
PoliticsPolitics2 min read
  • Rep. Michael McCaul is projected to win Texas' 10th Congressional District over Democrat Mike Siegel.
  • The district is located in southeast Texas and contains portions of the Greater Houston and Greater Austin areas.
  • McCaul has raised $2.46 million — about $1.5 million more than his Democratic opponent in this race so far.
  • See the live coverage and full results from all US House elections.

Eight-term incumbent Rep. Michael McCaul is projected to win against Democratic challenger Mike Siegel in Texas' 10th Congressional District.

The candidates

McCaul was first elected to his House seat in 2005. He previously served as the chief of counterterrorism and national security under the Texas branch of the US Attorney's office.

As of 2018, McCaul was the fifth-wealthiest member of the US Congress. He is currently the Republican leader on the House Foreign Affairs Committee and is the chairman emeritus of the House Committee on Homeland Security.

Siegel, a former Teach for America corps member, previously worked as an Austin city attorney. His campaign platform is centered on implementing a universal healthcare system that covers all Americans, expanding labor rights, passing the Green New Deal to combat climate change, police reform, and assisting people with student debt.

In the 2018 midterm elections, McCaul defeated Siegel by 4.3 points, 51.1% to 46.8%

See live coverage and full results for the US presidential election

The district

Texas' 10th Congressional District is located in the state's southeastern region and is home to the northern portion of the Greater Houston area and a part of the Greater Austin area. The district includes the suburbs of Katy, Cypress, Tomball, Pflugerville, Bastrop, and Elgin.

Before McCaul was elected in 2005, the district had not been represented by a Republican since Rep. Robert Hawley took office in 1897.

President Donald Trump carried the 10th District by nine points, 52% to 43%, in the 2016 election, according to the Daily Kos. In 2018, when McCaul beat Siegel by four points, Democratic US Senate candidate Beto O'Rourke tied Republican Sen. Ted Cruz in that year's US Senate race, 49% to 49%.

The money race

According to the Center for Responsive Politics, McCaul has raised $3.5 million, spent $2.8 million, and has a little over $686,000 in cash on hand while Siegel has raised $2.3 million, spent $2.1 million, and has $234,850 in cash on hand.

What some of the experts say:

The race between McCaul and Siegel is rated as a "tossup" by The Cook Political Report and "leans Republican" by Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.

Expanded Coverage Module: insider-voter-guide

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