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Will US house prices soar or plunge? These 5 experts are divided.
Will US house prices soar or plunge? These 5 experts are divided.
Theron MohamedJan 12, 2024, 23:54 IST
Jeremy Grantham.Fairfax Media via Getty Images via Getty Images
US home prices have shrugged off the surge in mortgage rates over the past 18 months.
Homeowners don't want to sell and lose their cheap mortgages, while buyers don't want to overpay.
Where will house prices go from here? Investors, economists, strategists, and real estate insiders are divided on that pressing question.
The Federal Reserve's war on inflation has seen the central bank hike interest rates from nearly zero to over 5% since last spring. The upshot has been mortgage rates doubling to over 7%, sparking an affordability crisis.
Moreover, the housing market is essentially frozen with transactions down sharply. Potential sellers are reluctant to give up their cheap mortgages and take on much pricier ones, while prospective buyers are loath to overpay.
Jeremy Grantham, Barbara Corcoran, David Rosenberg, and other experts have shared drastically different outlooks for home prices. Here's what they said.
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1. Jeremy Grantham
Jeremy Grantham, Co-founder and Chief Investment Strategist of GMO, speaks during an Oxford-style debate on financial innovation hosted by "The Economist" magazine at Pace University in New York October 16, 2009.Nicholas Roberts/Reuters