The dream scenario for the economy is looking more likely by the day
Wages are ⏫. Unemployment is ⏬. The US jobs market is still on .
The US added 209,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in June, according to data out Friday. That was down from the prior month and short of expectations. Still, recent data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows a job market that's running hot.
- The unemployment rate dropped to 3.6% in June.
- The prime-age employment-population ratio, or the share of prime-age workers with a job, hit 80.9% in June, the highest since 2001.
- Average hourly earnings increased 0.4% month on month and are up 4.4% on last year. Pay growth is now likely outpacing inflation.
- Four million people quit their jobs in May, down from the "Great Resignation" peak but still historically high.
- The monthly number of layoffs and discharges, at 1.6 million in May, remains low.
The data is likely to push the Fed to go back to hiking rates after a recent pause. It also puts a so-called soft landing for the economy firmly in view.
The dream scenario for the economy is to get inflation under control without a sharp spike in unemployment or a recession. So far, the job market has remained robust. We'll get a better picture on inflation this coming week, when the consumer price index for June is released.
Download our app to get that news — and all of our coverage of the economy — straight to your cell.
Now, let's get to more of today's top reads.
RIP WFHamptons
Wall Street's era of ease is dead. Gone are the pandemic days of remote work and the stock market's "everything rally" that made it easy for financiers to rake in cash. Nowhere are the new, tougher days clearer than in the Hamptons, Insider's Linette Lopez writes.
Earlier in the pandemic, the place was pandemonium as Wall Streeters fled their offices. Now, with soaring interest rates and falling banker fees, the winds have clearly shifted. Lopez went back to the Hamptons to see how the banking class was faring — and the mood right now is grim.
Also read:
Amex under fire
In May last year, 150 salespeople at American Express were fired. Roughly another 100 were moved to new roles that didn't pay commissions. According to some former staff, these people were cast as scapegoats for a series of investigations dogging the company.
In a legal filing, a former employee claimed that salespeople were pressured to sell a product marketed as a tax-write-off vehicle. Internal sales material, interviews with former employees, and legal claims raise questions about whether senior managers knew the product was being pitched to help avoid taxes — and how high up the corporate ladder the awareness may have gone.
Rent-to-own nightmare
The private-equity-owned Home Partners sold people a dream of homeownership. Some got evicted instead.
The rent-to-own company Home Partners attracted private-equity investment as far back as 2014. Then Blackstone Group bought the company for $6 billion in 2021 with a promise to make homeownership a reality for those locked out of traditional mortgages.
In a new Insider investigation, tenants said they felt set up to fail.
Also read:
Tesla's Supercharging secret
When Tesla opened up its Supercharger network to Ford and GM vehicles, some people were surprised. Why would the most valuable car company in the world basically give away one of the things that differentiated it from all the others?
The answer might be staring you in the face, Insider's senior tech correspondent Adam Rogers writes. By letting Ford and GM plug into its chargers, Tesla might be able to siphon off data from its rivals' cars.
Why Musk is opening up Tesla's charging stations.
This week's quote:
"It'll take some time, but I think there should be a public conversations app with 1 billion+ people on it. Twitter has had the opportunity to do this but hasn't nailed it. Hopefully we will."
- Mark Zuckerberg on whether Threads can become bigger than Twitter.
More of this week's top reads:
Reddit, mortgage rates, & more
- High mortgage rates haven't done anything to cool prices. We explored why.
- As Reddit moves toward an IPO, employees describe dysfunction internally. A year of growing pains might hinder the company's next step.
- Wall Street fearmongers keep warning that a recession and stock-market crash are just around the corner. It's time to start ignoring them.
- How the writers' strike is crushing Hollywood's next generation.
- The journalist Evan Gershkovich has been in captivity in Moscow for 100 days on espionage charges. His friend shares what the world needs to know about him.
- The internet turned everyone into their own travel agent. And now we're stuck with worse airline travel and more flight delays.
- An Oxford economist argues that older generations have an advantage in the AI boom: people skills and experience that can't be automated away.