- Some kinds of
inflation are stickier than others. That risks trapping the US in everlasting price surges. - Prices for things like housing rarely, if ever, decline, as people spend on them no matter what.
The
Inflation is running white-hot throughout the US economy, but not all
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Yet the stickier form of inflation could throw a wrench in the Fed's efforts. Price rallies for things like housing are less likely to slow or reverse course, as demand for them tends to hold strong no matter how high interest rates are.
Insider looked at what categories may be considered sticky based on monthly
Looking at data since 2012, there are some categories that have seen price indexes increase month after month. The following chart looks at three categories that have had no month-over-month price declines between 2012 and 2022 and the percent increases each month since January 2012:
As seen in the above chart, rent for apartments has increased every month for a decade. In fact, this kind of rent is almost 40% higher than where it sat in January 2012.
Imputed rent for owner-occupied housing — the BEA's main measure for housing costs for homeowners — also had a 10-year streak of rising prices, according to the data. It wasn't just housing costs that kept skyrocketing; prices for purchased meals and drinks at restaurants and other places outside the home never declined over the past decade.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell raised concerns around stickier-than-expected inflation while testifying to the Senate Banking Committee in late November. The central banker told lawmakers that supply-chain strains were among the biggest drivers of inflation through the end of 2021, and that closing the supply-demand gap was key to easing price growth. Still, with the virus situation still highly uncertain, some kinds of inflation run the risk of becoming more entrenched, he added.
"It is difficult to predict the persistence and effects of supply constraints, but it now appears that factors pushing inflation upward will linger well into next year," Powell said then.
That's so far been the case. The
To be sure, interest rates still sit at record lows, and it's unclear just how much rate hikes will affect both broad and sticky inflation. Yet with the latter quickly accelerating, the Fed might have to work harder to pull inflation back to earth.