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Petro-currencies are decoupling from oil

Sep 28, 2016, 17:44 IST

Investing.com

Although oil's been all over the place the last few days, petro-currencies have remained relatively stable.

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For example, the Russian ruble and the Norwegian krone are both little changed at 63.9059 per dollar and 8.1114 per dollar, respectively, as of 7:49 a.m. ET

Meanwhile, Brent crude oil is up by 1.5% at $47.21 and WTI crude is up by 1.2% at $45.19 on Wednesday morning following the previous days when both benchmarks fell by about 3.5%.

"All currencies have maintained their relative strength, partly de-coupling from oil volatility, suggesting that the least resistance may be expected to the upside," observed Morgan Stanley's Hans W. Redeker in a note to clients.

The one notable exception is the Canadian dollar, which is currently weaker by 0.2% at 1.3225 per US dollar. However, Redeker notes that this could be attributed to "bearish domestic factors."

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"The findings on the oil sector currency front are in line with our overall assessment of USD bearishness which may have another 3-4% to go before bottoming out," he added.

As for the rest of the world, here's the scoreboard as of 8:01 a.m. ET:

  • The US dollar index is up by 0.1% at 95.55, prompting Marc Chandler, the global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman, to note that the "USD is mostly firmer, but is going nowhere quickly today."
  • The British pound climbed above 1.30 on Tuesday, and is currently little changed at 1.3011 against the dollar.
  • The Japanese yen is down by 0.2% at 100.62 per dollar
  • The euro is little changed at 1.1221 against the dollar.

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