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Paddy Power: 'Making a Murderer' convict Steven Avery has more chance of being free than Julian Assange

Feb 5, 2016, 21:03 IST

Racegoers react as jockey Ruby Walsh, on Black Harry, falls at the last fence of The Novices' Hurdle Race on the final day of the Cheltenham Festival horse racing in Gloucestershire, western England, March 16, 2007.REUTERS/Eddie Keogh

One of Britain's biggest bookmakers Paddy Power just released the odds on whether Julian Assange will leave the Ecuadorean Embassy in London. The Wikileaks founder has lived in that embassy for the last three-and-a-half years to avoid extradition to Sweden to face questioning over allegations of sexual assault and rape.

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And the odds are not in his favour.

In fact, according to a statement sent to Business Insider, there is more chance of Steven Avery - the convict from the hit Netflix series "Making a Murderer" - getting out prison first than Assange leaving the embassy.

The odds are as follows:

Who'll get out first - Steve Avery or Assange?

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1/33 Assange

10/1 Avery

Speculation is surrounding Assange leaving the embassy after the United Nations Working Group ruled that Assange was being "arbitrarily detained" in the embassy.

WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange reacts during a press conference, where he confirmed he 'will be leaving the embassy soon', in the Ecuadorian Embassy on August 18, 2014 in London, England. Mr Assange has been living in the embassy since June 2012 in an attempt to avoid extradition to Sweden where he faces allegations of sexual assault.John Stillwell - WPA Pool/Getty Images

The Working Group's head Seong-Phil Jong said in a statement:

"The working group maintains that the arbitrary detention of Mr. Assange should be brought to an end, that his physical integrity and freedom of movement be respected, and that he should be entitled to an enforceable right to compensation."

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But the UK and Swedish governments ridiculed the decision. Philip Hammond called it "ridiculous," while the Swedish ambassador to the UN said: "Mr. Assange has chosen, voluntarily, to stay at the Ecuadorian Embassy and the Swedish authorities have no control over his decision to stay there. Mr. Assange is free to leave the Embassy at any point. Thus, he is not being deprived of his liberty there due to any decision or action taken by the Swedish authorities."

Assange and his representatives called the ruling a "really significant victory" and a "vindication."

However, UK authorities responded and said they still intend to arrest Assange if he steps outside the Ecuadorian Embassy in London - so there's no indication his situation will change any time soon. Britain's Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs Philip Hammond called the ruling "ridiculous."

So it looks like that betting on Assange leaving the embassy soon seems like a long shot. However, Paddy Power still gives punters the option to bet on other things related to him.

You could instead bet on the mode of transport Assange will eventually use to leave the Embassy. A police car is currently 3/1 while a taxi is 13/2. If you think he'll fly off the balcony with a jetpack, Paddy Power will happily take your money at 250/1.

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