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We're backing all the home dogs this week in our entry to the Westgate SuperContest, including Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns.
Week 5 was a tough one for our SuperContest picks, going just 1-4 on Sunday on our best bets of the day.
It was a pretty crushing day all around, and one that could have been avoided had myself and my partner in picks not fallen for several clear traps. We fell in love with our hometown team and most criminally, bet against the Browns as home underdogs.
Looking back on the day, we felt we had overthought ourselves into a losing week - we essentially talked ourselves out of a few games that would have turned the tide back in our favor.
With that in mind, this week we attempted to keep things simple. When the SuperContest lines were published on Wednesday, the slate showed a whopping six teams as home underdogs in Week 6.
Rather than battle with ourselves again, we threw out our least favorite of the six (Dallas vs. Jacksonville) and rode the other five.
While this blind strategy might sound absurd, the math checks out, at least to a degree. Home underdogs were 14-7 against the spread heading into Week 6 according to Team Rankings, and backing a trend that was hitting at a two-out-of-three clip felt like a good way to recover after a losing week.
That said, things got off to an ugly start.
Below are our best bets for Week 5 of the NFL season.