New York City winters could feel a lot like Texas winters by the end of the century
With another freezing February already in full swing, it may seem hard to imagine a winter in the Big Apple without these icy characteristics. But climate scientists from Climate Central, a nonprofit organization dedicated to communicating climate science to the public, report that milder seasons may be on their way.
Researchers from Climate Central recently compiled winter projections for 697 US cities and put together a handy interactive graphic to explain the results. In each case, the graphic communicates how many below-freezing nights the city typically experiences in the winter and then tells how many below-freezing nights the city can expect, based on the latest climate models, in the year 2100. Finally, the graphic compares the projected number to another city in the US that already usually experiences that number of below-freezing nights.
The graphic shows us that, currently, New York City gets 79 nights below freezing each winter. But in 2100, the city can expect only 29 below-freezing nights. That's the same number Killeen, Tex. usually gets today.To be clear, this doesn't mean New York's average temperature will necessarily become the same as Killeen's. The data only suggest that the number of freezing nights will drop substantially in New York City.
Luckily, these winter projections assume that carbon emissions will keep on increasing throughout the century, as they have done for the past several decades, pushing global temperatures skyward. This means if we can cap global carbon emissions soon enough, we might be able to save winter - not just in New York, but around the world.
The Climate Central analysis includes cities from every state. Give the graphic a shot and see how your city will fare in 100 years.