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MORGAN STANLEY: These 4 charts show how 'Brexit' could be more likely than people think

Ben MoshinskyApr 20, 2016, 18:58 IST

Waving at EuropeTim Peake/ NASA

The June 23 EU referendum is the biggest event in the political calendar.

Looking at the polls, Morgan Stanley analysts Jacob Nell and Melanie Baker estimate there's a 40% chance of a Brexit in June.

But while it's slightly more likely that the UK votes to stay in the European Union, Morgan Stanley has picked up on a few trends that could scupper that.

They see the result as close run because of several built-in beliefs that separate Brits from continental Europeans.

Here are the charts that should make the Remain campaign nervous.