scorecardMexico's rising violence and a showdown between cartels are driving a grisly trend in the country's 2nd-biggest city
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Mexico's rising violence and a showdown between cartels are driving a grisly trend in the country's 2nd-biggest city

Christopher Woody: The level of violence, homicides in particular, has increased throughout Mexico in recent years; how has the intensity and nature of violence in Guadalajara changed?

Mexico's rising violence and a showdown between cartels are driving a grisly trend in the country's 2nd-biggest city

Woody: Two gangs appear to be behind the killings and disappearances you documented in Guadalajara: the Jalisco New Generation cartel and Nueva Plaza. What are those groups competing over and how has their clash been felt in the city?

Woody: Two gangs appear to be behind the killings and disappearances you documented in Guadalajara: the Jalisco New Generation cartel and Nueva Plaza. What are those groups competing over and how has their clash been felt in the city?

Woodman: The Jalisco New Generation cartel (CJNG) is one of the most powerful criminal enterprises on the continent. From its home base of Guadalajara, the cartel has expanded rapidly across the country.

Nueva Plaza is a much smaller group led by former CJNG members who broke away in 2017. They are not considered major players in terms of international drug trafficking but have taken over pockets of the local drug trade. Some analysts believe the Sinaloa cartel — the CJNG's biggest rival in Mexico — is funding Nueva Plaza to weaken and distract their competitors.

Read more: Mexico says it caught gunmen who shot down an army helicopter — and it may signal trouble for the country's most powerful cartel

The most significant impact of the CJNG-Nueva Plaza conflict has been the spike in homicides and the discovery of dozens of burial sites around Guadalajara.

Both these gangs have taken to burying victims in private properties rather than rural outskirts. That's terrifying for neighbors and creates new obstacles for search parties, who now need warrants and drills to find the bodies of missing people.

Woody: How has that violence changed the behavior and the attitudes of residents in the area?

Woody: How has that violence changed the behavior and the attitudes of residents in the area?

Woodman: Guadalajara is a wealthy Mexican city that once had a reputation as a safe haven from the crime that rocked other parts of the country. While it still doesn't rank among the most dangerous places in Mexico, nobody is arguing it is a safe haven anymore.

You could still visit Guadalajara and head out to trendy Chapultepec Avenue on a Friday night, visit local bars or restaurants and have a great time. Statistically, the odds are in your favor.

Read more: Mexico's new drug war may be worse than old one

But if you know about the security situation, it's difficult to forget that there was a shootout on that same street last year, when the CJNG attacked the former state prosecutor.

It's also difficult to forget that the chances of being robbed have soared. That's because cartels have banned street robberies in other areas of the city so criminals have started operating in busy nightlife areas.

Security concerns have impacted the local mood. I know one Guadalajara family who has left Mexico because of those concerns. It's certainly becoming a topic of conversation for many more who have the option to relocate.

Woody: What, if anything, have city, state, and national authorities done in response? Do they have the capacity to stop the violence and the people behind it?

Woody: What, if anything, have city, state, and national authorities done in response? Do they have the capacity to stop the violence and the people behind it?

Woodman: Jalisco state authorities have found 20 burial sites in Guadalajara this year.

However, the number of bodies exceeds the capacity to identify them. Forensic facilities are underfunded and understaffed.

The fact that this is happening in Guadalajara is a damning indictment of the way the drug war has been handled. This is the country's second-largest city and one of its most beautiful. It is the Mexico the government would like the world to see — home to elegant architecture, a thriving startup scene and the largest annual book fair in the Americas. But Guadalajara's reputation as a cultural and investment hub has already taken a hit.

Mexico's president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, has promised to tackle the security crisis throughout the country. Sadly, 10 months into his presidency, the national homicide rate has risen rather than dipped.

Read more: The US's top military-intelligence official describes how the war on Mexico's cartels has produced even more violence

You really need to adopt a regional perspective to describe the factors driving that violence. The demand for illegal drugs north of the border fuels much of it, and lax US gun laws mean Mexican criminals have easy access to firepower.

In Mexico, the so-called kingpin strategy of taking down major drug lords has simply created new, hyperviolent replacements. Corruption and impunity have undermined public trust. Inequality has fueled cartel recruitment. Many young people in Guadalajara — and across Mexico — grow up in neighborhoods where legal success is unimaginable.

That's a broad and complicated problem. However, any effective and long-lasting solution to the kind of violence we've seen recently would have to address all of those dimensions.

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