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Mexico's central bank holds rates steady after new NAFTA deal

Oct 4, 2018, 23:36 IST

FILE PHOTO: Mexico's Economy Minister Guajardo, Canada's Foreign Minister Freeland and U.S. Trade Representative Lighthizer arrive for a meeting during the third round of NAFTA talks in OttawaThomson Reuters

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Mexico's central bank is held its benchmark interest rate steady Thursday in a policy announcement as inflation cools and after officials reached a breakthrough on NAFTA.

The move was in-line with expectations. More than two-thirds of analysts polled by Reuters predicted the Bank of Mexico would keep its benchmark interest rate at 7.75%, the level it has been at since a quarter-percentage-point hike in June.

"Banxico has given ample signals throughout the year that it considers the earlier tightening as sufficient to bring inflation back to target, and we do not think there will be any more rate hikes unless inflation proves stubborn," Societe Generale wrote in a research note.

Inflation remains far from the central bank target of 3% but is expected to moderate in coming months. Consumer prices rose less than expected in early September at 4.88%, according to the national statistics agency, a welcome sign of a slowdown after hitting its highest level in a decade and a half in 2017.

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The US and Canada reached a revised NAFTA deal with Mexico this week, easing trade tensions that have threatened growth. The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement seeks to modernize a trading system that has been in place for decades and that President Donald Trump had threatened to scrap.

Leaders including President-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador and legislatures in the three countries still have to sign off on USMCA, which is expected to happen next year.

Mexico's currency has lost about 1% against the dollar since last week, when the Federal Reserve increased its benchmark interest rate for a third time this year and signaled another hike in December. Ahead of the Bank of Mexico announcement, the peso was down 0.5%.

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