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Winston blew teams away at the combine, and SI's Peter King reported that 80% of NFL people think Winston is going first overall to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
As Winston has surged, Mariota has faced the inevitable backlash that top prospects face at this time of year. After examining his game tape, many scouts and draft commentators slapped him with the "not pro-ready" tag.
But the NFL Draft cycle is long, and we're already seeing signs that the narrative around Mariota is starting to turn.
In his Monday column, King said that Mariota's stock is about to blow up and he can't see him getting too far past the No. 2 pick at worst:
"I believe Mariota is going to get very attractive as the scouting process progresses in the next two months. If he's not the number one pick, and if Tennessee is being honest in affirming often how much they like Zach Mettenberger and passes on Mariota, then the jockeying will begin to get him."
After the combine, longtime NFL executive and current NFL Network commentator Gil Brandt said Mariota is a better long-term prospect than Winston. While it feels like Winston has all the momentum, some smart draft experts are still #TeamMariota.
The knock on Mariota is that he didn't have to make many NFL-level reads and throws in college because he played in a up-tempo offense that's fundamentally different from what he'll play in professionally. The mini backlash that we've seen over the last few weeks is the result of people scrutinizing his game tape and concluding that he doesn't have much experiencing running a pro-style offense.
The nitpicking over Mariota's film hit some absurd levels. According to NFL Network's Albert Breer, scouts even knocked him for not playing as well when he tore his MCL in 2013:
Mentioned this at @SI_PeterKing's event -- Uneven 4-game stretch in 2012 for Marcus Mariota has come under scrutiny among evaluators. (cont)
- Albert Breer (@AlbertBreer) February 22, 2015
(cont) Mariota was injured vs. UCLA, played on a sprained MCL in Nov. 2012. Less option, more traditional QB setup, and he struggled a bit.
- Albert Breer (@AlbertBreer) February 22, 2015
(cont) Mariota #'s in those 4 (W-L: 2-2): 61.7% comp., 1131 yds, 10 TDs, 4 INTs. Other 37 starts (34-3): 67.4%, 9665 yds, 95 TDs, 10 INTs.
- Albert Breer (@AlbertBreer) February 22, 2015
(cont) Nov. 2013, not Nov. 2012. My bad -- End of his r-soph season. Anyway, problem is there were issues for him as a pocket passer.
- Albert Breer (@AlbertBreer) February 22, 2015
(cont) Btw, it's not to kill the kid for playing hurt. It's trying to find examples to project him playing from the pocket, w/o the option.
- Albert Breer (@AlbertBreer) February 22, 2015