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Russia is losing close to 1,000 soldiers every day, but it won't stop relying on mass assaults to pound Ukraine's front lines: UK intelligence

Apr 8, 2024, 16:58 IST
Business Insider
Russian soldier launching missile attacks at Ukrainian positions in Donetsk.Russian Defense Ministry / Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Russia's daily losses on the Ukrainian battlefield have been increasing since 2022, UK intelligence says.
  • "Each year has seen a rise in the daily average loss rate," the UK's defense ministry said.
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Losing nearly a thousand soldiers a day isn't stopping the Russians from launching mass attacks on Ukraine, the UK's defense ministry has said in an intelligence dispatch.

"Since the February 2022 invasion, Russian forces have sustained 658 losses a day on average," the UK's defense ministry said in a post on X on Sunday, which collated the number of Russian casualties and injured.

"Each year has seen a rise in the daily average loss rate from 400 in 2022, to 693 in 2023, to 913 through the first quarter of 2024," the post continued. "The increase reflects Russia's ongoing reliance on mass to sustain pressure on Ukrainian frontlines."

The intelligence dispatch noted that the number of daily Russian losses dipped slightly in March. The drop in numbers, the UK defense ministry said, "corresponds with fewer reported attacks over the past month."

"The reduction in Russian offensive operations highly likely reflects a series of factors: a period of rest and refit following the capture of Avdiivka, and intent to reduce death notifications during the Russian elections," the post said.

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This isn't the first time the number of Russian casualties has come under the spotlight. Russia's reliance on attritional warfare means it has weathered significant losses since it invaded Ukraine.

In January, a Ukrainian commander told CNN that Russia was mounting their assaults with "non-stop" human-wave attacks.

"Assault after assault, non-stop. If we kill 40 to 70 of them with drones in a day, the next day, they renew their forces and continue to attack," the commander said.

The ravenous need for more troops has meant Russia has had to tap on inmates to fuel its war effort. In fact, Russia's military has recruited so many prisoners that it even had to close some of its prisons to "optimize and save money."

But the narrow focus on cobbling troops together for the war may have long-term implications for Russia's economy. The Ukraine war has left Russia with a severe labor shortage.

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In December, the Russian Academy of Science's Institute of Economics said the Russian economy was short of about 5 million workers.

"To date, Russia has highly likely lost over 355,000 personnel killed and wounded during the Ukraine war," the UK defense ministry said in an intelligence dispatch on March 3.

Representatives for Russia's defense ministry didn't immediately respond to a request for comment from Business Insider sent outside regular business hours.

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