Speaking to ANI, Mrutyunjay
Long-period average rainfall over the country, as a whole, based on data from 1971-2020 is 87 cm, added the IMD official.
It is based on both statistical and dynamic models used by IMD.
La Nina conditions have changed to Neutral conditions over the equatorial Pacific region, the top IMD official said, adding that the latest climate model forecast indicates that
The impact of El Nino may be felt during the second half of the monsoon season, he added.
All El Nino years are not bad monsoon years, he said, informing that about 40 per cent of the EL Nino years in the past(1951-2022) were years with normal or above-normal monsoon rainfall.
"Neutral Indian Ocean Dipole
The rainfall in Eurasia was below normal from December 2022 to March 2023, he informed further, adding that lower snow cover over the Northern Hemisphere as well as Eurasia during winter and spring is favourable for the subsequent southwest monsoon rainfall over India.
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