Three data points that will move Indian markets this week

Global markets are off to a jittery start this week. Risk aversion has spiked after the US Federal Reserve unexpectedly decided not to hike interest rates. The signal from Fed has eroded the markets' confidence in the world's largest economy and triggered fears of another recession.

As the fears of a global recession mount, wary market participants will watch out for data points that may determine the extent of the market sell-off in the days to come.

1. Tuesday: RBI auction

The RBI will auction $5 billion worth of US dollars. The move is expected to release ₹35,000 crore liquidity into the financial system.

2. Tuesday: India Government borrowing calendar

The RBI will announce the government borrowing calendar for the first half of the financial year 2019-20. Markets are expecting the government to borrow 55%-60% of the total planned borrowing by September 2019, according to a report by ICICI Bank. Any deviation from this estimate will affect the market mood and affect bond yields and, by extension, share prices of banks that own significant stock of government bonds.

3. Thursday: US economic growth data

After the Federal Reserve's move to pause on expected interest rate hikes, markets expect that the American central bank may cut the economic growth estimate for the three months ending December 2018. The earlier estimate was that of a 2.6% growth in gross domestic product.

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