+

Cookies on the Business Insider India website

Business Insider India has updated its Privacy and Cookie policy. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the better experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we\'ll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies on the Business Insider India website. However, you can change your cookie setting at any time by clicking on our Cookie Policy at any time. You can also see our Privacy Policy.

Close
HomeQuizzoneWhatsappShare Flash Reads
 

I see a labor market that is looking hotter and hotter

Sep 2, 2015, 20:12 IST

Robert Bowker, a structural welder with Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding, welds the initials of Susan Ford Bales into the keel of the aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford (CVN 78) during a keel laying and authentication ceremony. Gerald R. Ford is the newest class of aircraft carrier.Wikimedia

Deutsche Bank's Torsten Sløk thinks the labor market is more than strong enough to justify interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve

Advertisement

In an email on Wednesday, Sløk writes that he continues to talk to clients who don't believe the US economy is anything other than weak, "not good," or on the verge of recession. But the indicators Sløk is looking at show nothing of the sort. In fact, the opposite.

Last week, we highlighted charts from Sløk that showed, to him, an economy picking up steam.

On Wednesday, Sløk turned his focus to the labor market, writing that, "Based on these indicators I would argue that the labor market is already hot and if the Fed delays liftoff further the labor market will be overheated before we get to the neutral fed funds rate, which will only happen in 2017 at the earliest."

The market, for its part, thinks the chances the Fed raises rates in September is about 30%.

Advertisement

In Sløk's view, though, the Fed needs to act.

Here are the charts.

You are subscribed to notifications!
Looks like you've blocked notifications!
Next Article