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How The 10 NFL Teams On The Bubble Can Clinch A Playoffs Spot On Sunday

How The 10 NFL Teams On The Bubble Can Clinch A Playoffs Spot On Sunday

joe flacco ravens

Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Heading into Week 17, nearly a third of the league is on the bubble.

Ten teams that haven't clinched a playoff spot yet are mathematically eligible to make the playoffs on Sunday.

The NFL released a detailed breakdown of how each individual team can make it. Some of these scenarios are simple: the winners of the Philly-Dallas and Chicago-Green Bay games will make the playoffs, and the losers will be out. Other scenarios - like the AFC Wild Card, which is an absolute mess - are more complicated.

Here's how each team can clinch a playoff berth, with odds from Football Outsiders.

1. Philadelphia Eagles (62.8% chance)

  • Win or tie against Dallas

2. Dallas Cowboys (37.2% chance)

  • Win against Philadelphia

3. Chicago Bears (66.8% chance)

  • Win or tie against Green Bay

4. Green Bay Packers (33.2% chance)

  • Win against Chicago

5. New Orleans Saints (82.8% chance)

  • Win against Tampa Bay, OR
  • Arizona loses to San Francisco, OR
  • Tie against Tampa Bay AND Arizona ties San Francisco

6. Arizona Cardinals (17.2% chance)

  • Win or tie against San Francisco AND New Orleans loses to Tampa Bay

7. Miami Dolphins (58.7% chance)

  • Win against New York Jets AND Baltimore loses/ties to Cincinnati, OR
  • Win against New York Jets AND San Diego wins against Kansas City, OR
  • Tie against New York Jets AND Baltimore loses to Cincinnati AND San Diego loses/ties to Kansas City, OR
  • Tie against New York Jets AND Baltimore ties Cincinnati AND San Diego ties Kansas City

8. Baltimore Ravens (18.9% chance)

  • Win against Cincinnati AND San Diego loses/ties Kansas City, OR
  • Win against Cincinnati AND Miami loses/ties New York Jets, OR
  • Lose against Cincinnati AND Miami loses to New York Jets AND San Diego loses to Kansas City and Pittsburgh loses to Cleveland, OR
  • Tie against Cincinnati AND Miami loses to New York Jets AND San Diego loses/ties to Kansas City, OR
  • Tie against Cincinnati AND Miami ties New York Jets AND San Diego loses to Kansas City

9. San Diego Chargers (13.3% chance)

  • Win against Kansas City AND Miami loses/ties to New York Jets AND Baltimore loses/ties to Cincinnati, OR
  • Tie against Kansas City AND Miami loses to New York Jets AND Baltimore loses to Cincinnati

10. Pittsburgh Steelers (9.1% chance)

  • Win against Cleveland AND Miami loses to New York Jets AND Baltimore loses to Cincinnati AND San Diego loses to Kansas City

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