How The 10 NFL Teams On The Bubble Can Clinch A Playoffs Spot On Sunday
Patrick Smith/Getty ImagesHeading into Week 17, nearly a third of the league is on the bubble.
Ten teams that haven't clinched a playoff spot yet are mathematically eligible to make the playoffs on Sunday.
The NFL released a detailed breakdown of how each individual team can make it. Some of these scenarios are simple: the winners of the Philly-Dallas and Chicago-Green Bay games will make the playoffs, and the losers will be out. Other scenarios - like the AFC Wild Card, which is an absolute mess - are more complicated.
Here's how each team can clinch a playoff berth, with odds from Football Outsiders.
1. Philadelphia Eagles (62.8% chance)
- Win or tie against Dallas
2. Dallas Cowboys (37.2% chance)
- Win against Philadelphia
3. Chicago Bears (66.8% chance)
- Win or tie against Green Bay
4. Green Bay Packers (33.2% chance)
- Win against Chicago
5. New Orleans Saints (82.8% chance)
- Win against Tampa Bay, OR
- Arizona loses to San Francisco, OR
- Tie against Tampa Bay AND Arizona ties San Francisco
6. Arizona Cardinals (17.2% chance)
- Win or tie against San Francisco AND New Orleans loses to Tampa Bay
7. Miami Dolphins (58.7% chance)
- Win against New York Jets AND Baltimore loses/ties to Cincinnati, OR
- Win against New York Jets AND San Diego wins against Kansas City, OR
- Tie against New York Jets AND Baltimore loses to Cincinnati AND San Diego loses/ties to Kansas City, OR
- Tie against New York Jets AND Baltimore ties Cincinnati AND San Diego ties Kansas City
8. Baltimore Ravens (18.9% chance)
- Win against Cincinnati AND San Diego loses/ties Kansas City, OR
- Win against Cincinnati AND Miami loses/ties New York Jets, OR
- Lose against Cincinnati AND Miami loses to New York Jets AND San Diego loses to Kansas City and Pittsburgh loses to Cleveland, OR
- Tie against Cincinnati AND Miami loses to New York Jets AND San Diego loses/ties to Kansas City, OR
- Tie against Cincinnati AND Miami ties New York Jets AND San Diego loses to Kansas City
9. San Diego Chargers (13.3% chance)
- Win against Kansas City AND Miami loses/ties to New York Jets AND Baltimore loses/ties to Cincinnati, OR
- Tie against Kansas City AND Miami loses to New York Jets AND Baltimore loses to Cincinnati
10. Pittsburgh Steelers (9.1% chance)
- Win against Cleveland AND Miami loses to New York Jets AND Baltimore loses to Cincinnati AND San Diego loses to Kansas City