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Good Morning! US Futures are attempting to recover from yesterday's late swandive, brought on by massive MOC sell tickets. S&P and Nasdaq are 2% higher despite some weakness in European markets, and more Chinese selling pressure overnight. The DAX is off 70bp and EM Equities heavy on FTSE, hitting London for 1% - but volume has dropped off sharply today despite EU Stoxx's VIX is 35.3, near a four-year high. Financials and Tech are having a tough go in Europe, but Industrials are attempting to outperform. Over in Asia, Shanghai dropped 1.3% after rising as much as 4.3% and falling 3.9%, extending its steepest five-day rout since 1996. Asian EM losses were tempered by gains in Taiwan and South Korea, while Nikkei popped 3% on dovish tailwinds into Kuroda speech tonight. Aussie was able to post small gains overnight as materials names managed a small rally.
Fed Funds is showing a 26% chance of a September launch, but that "Policy Sensitive" 2YY is jumping 5bp higher as the street positions hawkishly again - The US 10YY is back upside of 2.1% early - but the Euro is breaking towards yesterday's lows and Bunds are well bid as dovish ECB comments reverberate. Watch DXY 94.70 - Yesterday's highs - a break north will be a big headwind for commodities - and we are starting with copper, aluminum and other metals just off multiyear lows, and Gold continues to retreat quickly from last week's bid. Even with the higher $, it's stunning that WTI is basically unchanged after that massive 7.3MM draw reported by API last night ahead of DOE today. Softs are mixed, but Natty has a bid despite fear-mongering over record inventories in overnight press.
At 8:30 - we get the US Durable Goods Orders, ahead of a production forecast for summer grains at 9:30. Fed's Dudley Answers Questions At Press Briefing at 10am, and we get that DOE data for Crude, Gasoline and Distillates at 10:30. Treasury gets active at 1pm, as we get an auction of $13B 2-Year Floating Rate Notes and $35 Bln in 5-Year Notes. BOJ's Kuroda Speaks in NYC About Japan's Inflation Target at 7pm tonight. In Washington today, the Senate, House remain on summer break - and the only published meeting on President Obama's schedule is to host last year's WNBA champion Phoenix Mercury at 12:15.