+

Cookies on the Business Insider India website

Business Insider India has updated its Privacy and Cookie policy. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the better experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we\'ll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies on the Business Insider India website. However, you can change your cookie setting at any time by clicking on our Cookie Policy at any time. You can also see our Privacy Policy.

Close
HomeQuizzoneWhatsappShare Flash Reads
 

Here comes the Bank of Mexico...

Nov 18, 2016, 00:11 IST

A man walks past a board displaying the exchange rate for Mexican peso against the U.S. dollar and the Euro at a bank in Mexico City, Mexico, November 17, 2016.Henry Romero/Reuters

The Bank of Mexico will be out with its latest interest rate decision at 2 p.m. ET.

Advertisement

Economists expect that the bank, often referred to as Banxico, will hike rates by 50 basis points to 5.25%, up from 4.75%.

Thursday's monetary policy announcement comes after a tumultuous few weeks for the Mexican peso, which has been one of the big market casualties of the US presidential election.

The currency fell to a record low against the dollar on election night as rolling results increasingly pointed to a Trump victory. It continued tumbling over the course of last week, but has since retraced some of its losses.

The peso became something of a gauge of Donald Trump's prospects during the last few months leading up to the election. Often times when traders thought Trump's prospects of winning went up, the peso went down against the US dollar - and vice versa. Analysts and economists had attributed this to the fact that his strong protectionist platform would likely have negative repercussions for the Mexican economy if implemented.

Advertisement

In light of the peso's weakness, a Credit Suisse team led by Shahab Jalinoos wrote they won't just be looking at what Banxico does on Thursday, but also what it says.

"The language will also be under intense scrutiny, especially with regards to the previous claim that Banxico would mirror the Fed's tightening path," they wrote in a note to clients. "Anything suggesting Banxico might opt to tighten more aggressively than the Fed would likely prove supportive for" the peso.

Notably, while the consensus is for a 50 basis point hike, a Deutsche Bank team led by Drausio Giacomelli wrote in a note that they think a hike of 75 basis points is slightly more likely, arguing that "Banxico would rather not risk another bout of peso weakness at the current level."

The Mexican peso is little changed at 20.2332 per dollar as of 1:11 p.m. ET, after dipping into the red earlier in the morning.

Refresh this page for updates at 2 p.m. ET.

Advertisement

Market Insider

NOW WATCH: Elon Musk just unveiled something that could revolutionize how you power your home

Please enable Javascript to watch this video
You are subscribed to notifications!
Looks like you've blocked notifications!
Next Article