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Here come producer prices ...

Feb 18, 2015, 18:40 IST

The January producer price index is set for release at 8:30 am ET.

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Expectations are for producer prices to fall 0.4% in January compared to the prior month.

Excluding the more volatile cost of food and gas, "core" PPI is expected to rise 0.1%.

Compared to last year, producer prices are set to rise 0.3% with core prices expected to rise 2%.

In a note to clients ahead of the report, Ian Shepherdson at Pantheon Macro said the PPI report could surprise to the upside due to the report's "quirky treatment" of gasoline prices.

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"The PPI, remember, is no longer just a traditional measure of the price of goods leaving factories; it now covers the whole economy and, hence, is dominated by services," Shepherdson wrote.

"The gas price effect on the trade services component-which accounts for 23% of the core PPI-is hard to predict, as our final chart suggests, but the message from the data seems to be that a spike is overdue."

Shepherdson expects "core" PPI to rise 0.4%.

We'll be back with the live numbers when they hit.

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