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GOLDMAN SACHS: Professional stock pickers can make a killing by buying these 15 companies everyone else is flocking to

Sep 19, 2018, 22:05 IST

CHICAGO - MAY 9: Traders signal offers in the Five-Year Treasury Note Options pit at the Chicago Board of Trade following the announcement from the Federal Reserve meeting that it would maintain short-term interest rates at 5.25 percent May 9, 2007 in Chicago, Illinois. This is the seventh consecutive meeting the Fed has left the rate unchanged. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)Scott Olson/Getty Images

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  • Passive funds continue to gain assets at the detriment of active fund managers.
  • But there's a strategy involving small-cap stocks that active managers can use to benefit from passive inflows, according to Goldman Sachs.

Passive fund managers are here to stay and aren't likely to cede much of their investor dollars to stock pickers in the medium term, according to Goldman Sachs.

The firm calculated that the assets managed by exchange-traded funds have increased 300% since 2011, versus 80% for mutual funds.

But there are strategies that active managers can adopt to profit from the inflows to passive, Goldman's Arjun Menon said in a note to clients on Tuesday.

One of them includes taking account of the small-cap stocks that are the most overweight with passive funds.

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The popular opinion among investors is that passive inflows are detrimental to small-cap stocks, Menon said. This was true in the early-mid 2000s but is no longer the case; in fact, flows and small-cap performance now have a positive relationship, according to Menon.

"Based on current passive equity fund positioning, stocks at the low end of the capitalization spectrum are likely to be the biggest beneficiaries of passive inflows," Menon said. He added: "Similar to sector allocations, we encourage active managers to assess their factor exposures in light of the potential boost or headwinds from passive inflows."

The list below highlights stocks that passive funds are overweight relative to the Russell 3000 by at least three basis points, from the least to the most.

Oneok

Ticker: OKE

Sector: Energy

Year-to-date return: 26%

Market cap: $27 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 3 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Newmont Mining

Ticker: NEM

Sector: Materials

Year-to-date return: -20%

Market cap: $16 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 3 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Brown-Forman

Ticker: BF.B

Sector: Consumer staples

Year-to-date return: -5%

Market cap: $24 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 3 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Dish Network

Ticker: DISH

Sector: Consumer staples

Year-to-date return: -27%

Market cap: $16 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 3 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Alphabet

Ticker: GOOGL

Sector: Information Technology

Year-to-date return: 13%

Market cap: $828 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 3 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Public Storage

Ticker: PSA

Sector: Real Estate

Year-to-date return: 3%

Market cap: $36 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 5 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

VMware

Ticker: VMW

Sector: Information Technology

Year-to-date return: 23%

Market cap: $63 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 5 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Estee Lauder

Ticker: EL

Sector: Consumer staples

Year-to-date return: 9%

Market cap: $51 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 5 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Simon Property Group

Ticker: SPG

Sector: Real Estate

Year-to-date return: 11%

Market cap: $57 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 6 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Nike

Ticker: NKE

Sector: Consumer discretionary

Year-to-date return: 33%

Market cap: $133 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 6 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Discovery

Ticker: DISCA

Sector: Consumer discretionary

Year-to-date return: 27%

Market cap: $15 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 6 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Visa

Ticker: V

Sector: Information technology

Year-to-date return: 28%

Market cap: $324 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 7 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Facebook

Ticker: FB

Sector: Information technology

Year-to-date return: -6%

Market cap: $480 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 9 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Dell Technologies

Ticker: DVMT

Sector: Information technology

Year-to-date return: 19%

Market cap: $74 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 13 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

Berkshire Hathaway

Ticker: BRK.B

Sector: Financials

Year-to-date return: 9%

Market cap: $531 billion

Passive fund overweight versus Russell 3000: 58 bp

Source: Goldman Sachs

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