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GOLDMAN SACHS: Earnings are drying up as a recession looms - but you should still buy these 17 stocks to profit from their exploding margins

Jan 18, 2019, 16:27 IST

Getty Images / Scott Olson

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  • Cries for an imminent recession are getting louder by the day, but there are still ways to make money in the stock market by choosing companies set to thrive in a late-cycle environment.
  • Goldman Sachs has identified the 17 companies it says will grow margins the most in 2019, which should make them good buys.

No matter how optimistic an economist may be these days, chances are they'll still tell you a recession is coming in the next year or two.

That's a view also shared by equity strategists all across Wall Street. To them, it's not a matter of whether we're going to get a recession - it's a question of when. The spectre of that eventual economic meltdown hangs over their commentary like a dark cloud, and also informs the majority of their investing recommendations.

That's certainly true for Goldman Sachs. And the good news there is that the firm has a veritable war chest of suggestions to help the average investor navigate choppy waters.

Read more: RECESSION WATCH: Goldman Sachs has created a 5-part checklist for investors looking to avoid the next economic meltdown

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One way Goldman says to play an aging economic cycle is by buying stock in companies poised to see robust margin growth. After all, margins - and, by extension, earnings - normally get constrained in a late-cycle environment. So identifying the exceptions can be a profitable endeavor.

With that established, here are the 17 stocks Goldman says will expand their margins the most in 2019.

Note that these are the only companies in the universe screened by Goldman poised to see margin growth exceeding 100 basis points. They're listed in increasing order of 2019 expected margin expansion.

17. Cintas

Ticker: CTAS

Sector: Industrials

Market cap: $19 billion

Year-to-date return: 4%

2019E margin growth: 103 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

16. Citrix Systems

Ticker: CTXS

Sector: Information technology

Market cap: $14 billion

Year-to-date return: 1%

2019E margin growth: 111 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

15. TripAdvisor

Ticker: TRIP

Sector: Communications services

Market cap: $7 billion

Year-to-date return: 6%

2019E margin growth: 112 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

14. DowDuPont

Ticker: DWDP

Sector: Materials

Market cap: $127 billion

Year-to-date return: 4%

2019E margin growth: 112 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

13. Automatic Data Processing

Ticker: ADP

Sector: Information technology

Market cap: $57 billion

Year-to-date return: 0%

2019E margin growth: 114 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

12. Becton, Dickinson

Ticker: BDX

Sector: Healthcare

Market cap: $60 billion

Year-to-date return: -1%

2019E margin growth: 117 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

11. Total System Services

Ticker: TSS

Sector: Information technology

Market cap: $15 billion

Year-to-date return: 1%

2019E margin growth: 116 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

10. Chipotle Mexican Grill

Ticker: CMG

Sector: Communication services

Market cap: $14 billion

Year-to-date return: 15%

2019E margin growth: 121 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

9. NetApp

Ticker: NTAP

Sector: Information technology

Market cap: $15 billion

Year-to-date return: -1%

2019E margin growth: 145 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

8. Advanced Micro Devices

Ticker: AMD

Sector: Information technology

Market cap: $21 billion

Year-to-date return: 12%

2019E margin growth: 159 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

7. PayPal Holdings

Ticker: PYPL

Sector: Information technology

Market cap: $105 billion

Year-to-date return: 5%

2019E margin growth: 173 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

6. Expedia Group

Ticker: EXPE

Sector: Communication services

Market cap: $16 billion

Year-to-date return: 4%

2019E margin growth: 176 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

5. Xylem

Ticker: XYL

Sector: Industrials

Market cap: $12 billion

Year-to-date return: 0%

2019E margin growth: 196 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

4. Keysight Technologies

Ticker: KEYS

Sector: Information technology

Market cap: $12 billion

Year-to-date return: 6%

2019E margin growth: 203 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

3. Vulcan Materials

Ticker: VMC

Sector: Materials

Market cap: $14 billion

Year-to-date return: 4%

2019E margin growth: 208 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

2. Netflix

Ticker: NFLX

Sector: Communication services

Market cap: $140 billion

Year-to-date return: 20%

2019E margin growth: 235 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

1. Autodesk

Ticker: ADSK

Sector: Information technology

Market cap: $29 billion

Year-to-date return: 4%

2019E margin growth: 1,389 basis points

Source: Goldman Sachs

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