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GOLDMAN: Here's Why Brazil Is A Much Bigger World Cup Favorite Than People Realize

May 28, 2014, 14:05 IST

As it does every time there's a big international sporting event, Goldman Sachs is out with a huge report, available to the public, analyzing the World Cup, both from a perspective of the actual games and from an economic perspective.

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Without wasting anyone's time, here's the firm's odds for each time winning it all. As you can see, Brazil is a massive favorite, with nearly 50% chance of being champions:

Goldman Sachs

Goldman also points out that it's giving Brazil much higher odds of victory than Ladbrokes, the betting shop, implying that you should probably bet on them.

Goldman Sachs

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Goldman gives four reasons why Brazil is such a strong favorite:

  • Brazil is the highest rated team in its index of raw team skill.
  • Brazil has an excellent history in World Cup tournaments.
  • Home advantage is a big predictor of success in the sport, and of course the World Cup is in Brazil.
  • Home continent advantage is a big thing for Latin American teams, and no European team has ever won a World Cup in the Americas.

This chart breaks down why Goldman says Brazil has nearly a 50% shot.

Goldman

Check out the full report from Goldman here >

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