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Forget Amazon and Google - Apple is the tech giant to watch in healthcare, according to Morgan Stanley

Apr 8, 2019, 23:17 IST

Richard Drew/AP

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Apple has been edging its way into healthcare for years. Morgan Stanley says investors aren't taking the move seriously enough.

Healthcare is a market where the tech titan can lead digital disruption, "armed with the Apple Watch and the iPhone," they said in a recent report.

The healthcare industry could become an important driver of growth as smartphone demand plateaus, potentially bringing in anywhere from $15 billion to $313 billion in annual revenue for Apple by 2027, according to the report.

"Healthcare is both large - $3.5 trillion addressable US market - and nascent in its digital transformation," the analysts said.

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"So, unlike recent announcements on news, gaming, video, and payments, where Apple is joining existing competitors, healthcare is a market where Apple has the potential to lead digital disruption - much like what iTunes did for music or the App Store for mobile services."

Investors aren't yet giving Apple much credit for its healthcare potential. When Morgan Stanley surveyed 30 investors and leading health and tech executives about tech companies' potential in the space, Apple got the least attention, according to the report.

But Apple's enormous user base, with 900 million iPhones and 23 million Apple Watches, can only be an advantage, the Morgan Stanley analysts said.

The team also sees a clear strategy underpinning Apple's recent moves in healthcare.

The company is building out "another ecosystem like the App Store," they said, focused on consumers tracking and accessing health data and information.

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Read: Tim Cook says that improving people's health will be 'Apple's greatest contribution to mankind'

'Connecting the dots' on Apple's approach to healthcare

Apple has become iconic for its ability to create tech platforms where none previously existed, like iTunes for music and the App Store.

But, as anyone who has ever tried to get their lab test records knows, the health industry has never been particularly easy for the average person to navigate.

Apple could change that. The tech giant already has the raw material in place to build the App Store of healthcare, argues Morgan Stanley.

That includes, for example, the health app on every iPhone, software that medical researchers can use to conduct studies, and the Apple Watch, with its heart health capabilities.

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The company is also expanding into storing health records like prescriptions and lab results on the iPhone.

As part of those initiatives, the tech giant already has partnerships with medical institutions, health insurance companies and even the drugmaker Johnson & Johnson.

A new Morgan Stanley report says Apple has the raw material in place to build an App Store-like platform for healthcare.Morgan Stanley

Why health could be a $300 billion revenue opportunity by 2027

Apple's healthcare play could put eye-poppingly big revenue at stake: As much as $313 billion in annual revenue by 2027, per Morgan Stanley. The analysts based their calculation on estimates of how much waste there is in the US healthcare system, and how much Apple might be able to reduce that waste.

Even a smaller figure of around $90 billion, the middle of what the analysts see as the broad range of Apple's potential revenue opportunity, translates to about 35% of Apple's current revenues, the analysts noted.

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Apple's best shot at earning that amount is in wearables, they said, which could mean expanding into products that measure temperature, blood pressure, or glucose levels in the blood.

Announcements of that kind, either for the Apple Watch or medical-grade wearables, could ignite investor interest, the Morgan Stanley report said.

Selling health data storage on iCloud to individuals is also promising, and so is selling data and tools to hospitals and doctors to make their processes more efficient.

Investors might also focus on Apple and healthcare if Apple got involved in something like the JPMorgan-Amazon-Berkshire Hathaway initiative, the Apple Watch became covered by health insurance, or Apple acquired a healthcare company, the Morgan Stanley report said.

With a large user base, Apple could outpace rival tech titans

Of course, Apple is hardly the only tech giant to see an opening in healthcare.

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Other large tech companies like Amazon and Google have signaled their interest, with Amazon's entry especially attracting attention.

Read more: How Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft are shaking up healthcare - and what it means for the future of the industry

The e-commerce giant acquired the digital pharmacy PillPack last year, and recently added health skills like the ability to schedule doctor's appointments to its voice assistant Alexa.

"It's still early days for Amazon's healthcare initiatives," the analysts wrote.

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