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For the markets, 'a period of calm looks to be arriving'

Feb 19, 2016, 18:09 IST

Flickr/lululemon

It's been a terrible year for financial markets, but according to Kit Juckes at Societe Generale, the worst of it might be over.

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For now.

In a note Friday morning Juckes writes, "Another winter storm has passed."

Adding (emphasis ours):

But spring isn't here yet, and there will doubtless be more storms in the coming months. For now, there's enough two-way action in crude oil prices to suggest that we may be forming a messy base, replacing a downtrend with range-trading at least. Three days of rising US equity indices don't make for spring, let alone summer, but a period of calm looks to be arriving. Last but not least, Chinese policymakers' attempts to calm the yuan are, for now, working.

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Juckes, the top global foreign exchange strategist at SocGen, has his pulse not only on currency markets but on financial moves around the world.

And so while not calling a definitive bottom in a down-trending market - and all signs point to US stocks, at least, still being in a downtrend - Juckes sees a period of less-erratic moves in financial markets in the months to come.

Recall that last year we had a very choppy first couple months of the year and then had about six months of calm before things really got hectic again in August.

And while a similar pattern to start the year could have investors guarded in the months to come, at least for right now the worst of the market turbulence may be over.

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