+

Cookies on the Business Insider India website

Business Insider India has updated its Privacy and Cookie policy. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the better experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we\'ll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies on the Business Insider India website. However, you can change your cookie setting at any time by clicking on our Cookie Policy at any time. You can also see our Privacy Policy.

Close
HomeQuizzoneWhatsappShare Flash Reads
 

Everyone Who Was So Focused On China's Hard Landing Totally Missed The Big Story

Sep 10, 2013, 14:02 IST

Reuters/David GrayThe big story in economic news overnight is that China came out with a fresh round of data that handily beat expectations.

Advertisement

This is part of a longer pattern over the past couple months where Chinese data hasn't been that bad.

This is funny for two reasons:

  • There is a gigantic slump happening in the other BRICs countries, and other emerging markets as a whole.
  • Several months ago, at the start of the year, the Chinese hard landing was the story on investors radars.

Not only is the hard landing not materializing, China is the best of the bunch. Ironic.

Meanwhile, here's BofAML on the strong data from China and what it means for growth targets:

Advertisement

With today's higher-than-expected IP growth reading, we see clear upside risk to our 7.6% yoy growth forecast for 3Q13 and 7.6% annual GDP growth forecast for 2013. As we expected, Street economists have already revised up their growth forecasts in the past month, but we now expect another round of upward growth revisions on the Street in the next couple of weeks. On quarterly growth patterns, we expect an impressive recovery in 3Q13 (our official forecast at 7.6%, but we see upside risk) from 7.5% yoy in 2Q13, a bit moderation in 4Q13 due to slowdown in restocking and base effect, a rebound again in 1H13 on a low base, and slowdown again 2H on falling trend growth and base effect.

You are subscribed to notifications!
Looks like you've blocked notifications!
Next Article