scorecard
  1. Home
  2. Politics
  3. Even as the battle over the Mueller report drags on, the investigation probably won't hurt Trump in 2020

Even as the battle over the Mueller report drags on, the investigation probably won't hurt Trump in 2020

John Haltiwanger   

Even as the battle over the Mueller report drags on, the investigation probably won't hurt Trump in 2020
Politics4 min read

President Donald Trump, right, waves as he and first lady Melania Trump board Air Force One prior to departure from Palm Beach International Airport, Sunday, April 21, 2019, in West Palm Beach Fla. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)

Associated Press

President Donald Trump, right, waves as he and first lady Melania Trump board Air Force One prior to departure from Palm Beach International Airport, Sunday, April 21, 2019, in West Palm Beach Fla. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)

  • Special counsel Robert Mueller's report appears unlikely to hurt President Donald Trump in the 2020 election.
  • There's growing evidence voters are unmoved by the report's findings, and are more concerned with other issues.
  • Trump's approval rating has remained relatively steady as more details of the report have emerged over the past few weeks.
  • Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.

Special counsel Robert Mueller's report on his investigation into Russian election interference is continuing to dominate Washington's attention and divide lawmakers.

The report contained myriad revelations about President Donald Trump and his associates, leading a number of Democratic lawmakers to ramp up calls for the president's impeachment.

Meanwhile, Democrats have also slammed Attorney General William Barr over his handling of the report's rollout and some have called for his resignation.

But there's also evidence the 400-page document probably won't hurt Trump in the 2020 election.

Voters don't rank the Mueller report as a top issue

Mueller did not charge Trump with a crime, but did not fully exonerate him, either. The report outlined 11 potential instances of obstruction of justice by Trump, for example, and suggested that the president was close to breaking the law multiple times but was only prevented from doing so because his aides refused to follow his orders.

Read more: There's a growing amount of evidence that Trump has a great shot of being reelected in 2020

Top Democrats like House Judiciary Chairman Jerry Nadler have suggested the report is a "roadmap" for Congress to look into the president and could potentially even provide the basis for impeachment proceedings.

But many Americans appear unmoved by the findings, or aren't even interested in looking at them. Public opinion has barely fluctuated, even as more details have become available.

An INSIDER poll conducted after the redacted Mueller report's release found that 31% of Americans have not read it and don't plan to, either.

And polling suggests that other issues are much more important to voters than the special counsel's investigation.

A CNN poll from late March asked voters to point to one issue that would "be the most important to them when deciding whom to support in next year's presidential election." Mueller's investigation into Russian election interference was not named by a single respondent.

A Monmouth University poll of Democratic caucusgoers in Iowa released April 11 similarly found that not a single person offered up Mueller or the Russia investigation as a top issue.

Recent polls from Gallup and Pew Research Center show the top concerns for voters are issues like the economy and the affordability and availability of health care.

Meanwhile, a NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found just above just 39% of Americans have heard "a lot" about the Mueller report.

Comparatively, 56% heard "a lot" about the president's decision to fire former FBI director James Comey at the time, and 66% said the same about the release of the infamous Access Hollywood videotape featuring Trump making lewd remarks about women that was released shortly before the 2016 election.

Trump's approval rating has remained relatively steady

Perhaps most importantly for Trump, it doesn't seem like the report has done much to budget people's opinion of him. Both before and after Mueller delivered his report to Attorney General William Barr in late March, Trump's approval rating has been relatively steady.

The day before Barr set his four-page summary to Congress, Trump's approval rating stood at 41.9%, according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating tracker, which is based off of data from all publicly-available approval polls. As of Wednesday, almost two weeks after a redacted version of Mueller's report was made public, FiveThirtyEight's tracker shows Trump's approval rating at 41.5%.

Additionally, a new CNN poll shows Trump's approval rating at 43% - the highest level he's received in a CNN poll since April 2017.

Over the course of roughly two years, Mueller's investigation has dominated headlines, inspired over 100 tweets from the president, and divided Washington.

Despite all of the hoopla, the investigation and report have not done much to help or hurt Trump, and as of now it's hard to see any of it following the president into the ballot box next year in a significant way.

READ MORE ARTICLES ON


Advertisement

Advertisement