Our predictions for who will win big at this year's Golden Globes and who should win

"Avatar: The Way of Water"
"Elvis"
"The Fabelmans"
"Tár"
"Top Gun: Maverick"

Who will win: "The Fabelmans"

Honestly, this is the first year in a very long time when you could make the case that all of the nominated movies in this category could legitimately win. But we think that, when the smoke clears, Steven Spielberg's semi-autobiographical look at his youth will come out on top.

Spielberg is beloved in Hollywood, so there's that. But there's also something about the movie that should feel pretentious but instead, it's a love letter to film. We feel that will get across to most of the voters.

Who should win: "Top Gun: Maverick"

Our brain says "Fabelmans" but our heart definitely says "Maverick."

The sequel that no one thought would get made — let alone be any good as the original — has been shocking us since last summer and hopefully will continue during award season.

Who could surprise us: "Avatar: The Way of Water"

James Cameron's latest billion-dollar-grossing epic solidifies the director as a master storyteller and if voters are split on "Fabelmans" and "Maverick," we could see "Avatar" pull out a shocking win.

James Cameron, "Avatar: The Way of Water"
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, "Everything Everywhere All at Once"
Baz Luhrmann, "Elvis"
Martin McDonagh, "The Banshees of Inisherin"
Steven Spielberg, "The Fabelmans"

Who will win: Steven Spielberg, "The Fabelmans"

It's going to be Spielberg's year, and this night is going to show it. If he gets the best director win, it's likely that "Fabelmans" will also take home best drama.

The legend is deserving of the award as this movie marks the first time he's really gone for it and told an immensely personal story since "Schindler's List."

Who should win: James Cameron, "Avatar: The Way of Water"

The guy has been working on this movie for over a decade! If anyone is deserving of an award it should be Cameron.

Who could surprise us: Baz Luhrmann, "Elvis"

Luhrmann has been working voters since he showed glimpses of the movie last April at CinemaCon. We'll see if all that hustle pays off.

Cate Blanchett, "Tár"
Olivia Colman, "Empire of Light"
Viola Davis, "The Woman King"
Ana de Armas, "Blonde"
Michelle Williams, "The Fabelmans"

Who will win: Cate Blanchett, "Tár"

Playing a famed composer-conductor who finds herself entangled in a controversy, Blanchett delivered a powerful performance that is certain to not just earn her a Globes win but also an Oscar.

Who should win: Michelle Williams, "The Fabelmans"

Williams' performance as Spielberg's mother, who is conflicted between being a parent and her love for another man, showcased the actor's amazing talents. Yes, she captivates you in any role she plays, but the tenderness and vulnerability she displayed here are hard to forget.

Who could surprise us: Ana de Armas, "Blonde"

Despite the polarizing nature of the movie, you cannot ignore the talent de Armas displayed in playing one of the most beloved stars of all time, Marilyn Monroe.

We would be completely happy if de Armas got her flowers on Globes night.

Austin Butler, "Elvis"
Brendan Fraser, "The Whale"
Hugh Jackman, "The Son"
Bill Nighy, "Living"
Jeremy Pope, "The Inspection"

Who will win: Brendan Fraser, "The Whale"

This is Brendan Fraser's to lose. His emotionally charged performance as an extremely obese man dealing with loss is a highlight performance of 2022.

But you won't see the actor accepting the award. Fraser claimed a member of the Hollywood Foreign Press, which is the organization behind the Golden Globes, inappropriately touched him during a luncheon back in 2003. Due to that, the actor has refused to attend this year's show.

Who should win: Austin Butler, "Elvis"

How can you not root for Austin Butler? The actor has been living in the skin of Elvis Presley 24/7 for so long that we're pretty sure he's still humming Elvis hits to himself somewhere right now.

His dedication to the role is evident on-screen and he should be recognized for his efforts.

Who could surprise us: Hugh Jackman, "The Son"

It's definitely a long shot, but Jackman's performance in this drama does have its fans.

"Babylon"
"The Banshees of Inisherin"
"Everything Everywhere All at Once"
"Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery"
"Triangle of Sadness"

Who will win: "The Banshees of Inisherin"

For this beloved movie of 2022, director Martin McDonagh got his "In Bruges" costars Colin Farrell and Brendan Gleeson back together again to examine the crumbling of a friendship. It's worthy of the prize.

Who should win: "Everything Everywhere All at Once"

The Daniels' talents are showcased here at their zenith. The movie has so much goodwill that it could pull off the upset.

Who could surprise us: "Babylon"

Never count out a movie about old Hollywood. Despite the mixed reaction towards Damien Chazelle's latest effort, it's still possible that this nostalgic-filled, roaring-1920s film will strike a chord with voters.

Lesley Manville, "Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris"
Margot Robbie, "Babylon"
Anya Taylor-Joy, The Menu"
Emma Thompson, "Good Luck to You, Leo Grande"
Michelle Yeoh, "Everything Everywhere All at Once"

Who will win: Michelle Yeoh, "Everything Everywhere All at Once"

If there's one person who can step in the way of Blanchett winning an Oscar, it's Michelle Yeoh. The one sure thing on Globes night is that Yeoh is gonna win.

Who should win: Michelle Yeoh

Yeoh's performance in "Everything Everywhere All at Once" showcased the legend's immense talent. It's been long overdue, but she's finally getting the recognition from Hollywood she deserves.

Who could surprise us: It's all Yeoh!

Diego Calva, "Babylon"
Daniel Craig, "Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery"
Adam Driver, "White Noise"
Colin Farrell, "The Banshees of Inisherin"
Ralph Fiennes, "The Menu"

Who will win: Colin Farrell, "The Banshees of Inisherin"

Farrell's performance as a guy who desperately wants to keep a longtime friendship has been hailed as one of his best performances. In an up-and-down career, Farrell is currently at his peak and he will definitely be getting recognized for it on Globes night.

Who should win: Colin Farrell

It's hard to see anyone else walking on that stage.

Who could surprise us: Daniel Craig, "Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery"

But the Globes are gonna Globes. It wouldn't be the first time the show has a surprise win, and this year it could be Craig. But it's a major long shot.

Angela Bassett, "Black Panther: Wakanda Forever"
Kerry Condon, "The Banshees of Inisherin"
Jamie Lee Curtis, "Everything Everywhere All at Once"
Dolly De Leon, "Triangle of Sadness"
Carey Mulligan, "She Said"

Who will win: Angela Bassett, "Black Panther: Wakanda Forever"

Bassett always brings it in any movie she takes on, but with "Wakanda Forever," as a queen with major conflicts and heartache, she delivered a memorable performance that deserves the prize.

Who should win: Angela Bassett

It really should not go to anyone else.

Who could surprise us: Carey Mulligan, "She Said"

Seeing how the Globes can always give us a shock, keep an eye out for Mulligan. She gave a passionate performance playing one of the New York Times reporters who took down Harvey Weinstein.

Brendan Gleeson, "The Banshees of Inisherin"
Ke Huy Quan, "Everything Everywhere All at Once"
Barry Keoghan, "The Banshees of Inisherin"
Brad Pitt, "Babylon"
Eddie Redmayne, "The Good Nurse"

Who will win: Brendan Gleeson, "The Banshees of Inisherin"

Gleeson's performance as a guy who just wants to be left alone (and who will do some very dramatic acts to get his point across) was perfect across Farrell's. This will be a win that could come down to a photo finish.

Who should win: Barry Keoghan, "The Banshees of Inisherin"

Gleeson's castmate Barry Keoghan is so damn good in the movie as well. Playing the village dope, he's an amazing comic relief that is definitely worthy of the prize.

Who could surprise us: Ke Huy Quan, "Everything Everywhere All at Once"

However, if both cancel each other out, the win could go to Ke Huy Quan who is the glue of the Daniels' movie.

"Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio"
"Inu-Oh"
"Marcel the Shell With Shoes On"
"Puss in Boots: The Last Wish"
"Turning Red"

Who will win: "Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio"

This stop-motion telling of Pinocchio is highly acclaimed. Del Toro's team-up with the Jim Henson Company is a joy to experience.

Who should win: "Marcel the Shell With Shoes On"

Dean Fleischer Camp and Jenny Slate (who voices Marcel) shoot their shot by taking their beloved anthropomorphic shell and giving him a feature film. They don't miss.

It would be a highlight of the night if the movie won.

Who could surprise us: "Turning Red"

Never count out a Pixar movie. Though it's the rare year one of its titles is not the frontrunner during awards season, it could pull off an upset.

"Carolina," Taylor Swift ("Where the Crawdads Sing")
"Ciao Papa," Guillermo del Toro & Roeban Katz ("Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio")
"Hold My Hand," Lady Gaga and Bloodpop ("Top Gun: Maverick")
"Lift Me Up," Tems, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna, and Ryan Coogler ("Black Panther: Wakanda Forever")
"Naatu Naatu," Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, Rahul Sipligunj ("RRR")

Who will win: "Naatu Naatu," Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, Rahul Sipligunj ("RRR")

The song and performance are highlights of 2022. After it wins the Globes, the Oscars better be preparing an all-out display of "Naatu Naatu" beauty on its stage.

Who should win: "Naatu Naatu," Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, Rahul Sipligunj ("RRR")

Seriously, this one better win.

Who could surprise us: "Naatu Naatu" or bust!

"Better Call Saul"
"The Crown"
"House of the Dragon"
"Ozark"
"Severance"

Who will win: "Severance"

Dan Erikson's Apple TV+ sci-fi psychological thriller about a group of employees who elect to have a procedure done to separate their work memories from their personal memories is just too fresh and terrifying and realistic to lose.

Although "House of the Dragon," the prequel to "Game of Thrones," is also in its freshman season, we don't trust its parent show's record with the HFPA enough to bet on it.

Who should win: "Severance"

To be clear, "Severance" also deserves the win.

Who could surprise us: "Better Call Saul" had a stellar final season, and could snag a farewell Globe.

Emma D'Arcy, "House of the Dragon"
Laura Linney, "Ozark"
Imelda Staunton, "The Crown"
Hilary Swank, "Alaska Daily"
Zendaya, "Euphoria"

Who will win: Zendaya, "Euphoria"

Zendaya already has an Emmy, so now she'll get the Golden Globe for her performance as teenage drug addict Rue Bennett on HBO's "Euphoria."

Who should win: Zendaya

All of the women in this category deserve their spot, but we think Zendaya has earned the win.

Who could surprise us: No one

We wouldn't be shocked to hear any other name called, although it must be said that Hilary Swank is just doing the best she can on an awful show.

Jeff Bridges, "The Old Man"
Kevin Costner, "Yellowstone"
Diego Luna, "Andor"
Bob Odenkirk, "Better Call Saul"
Adam Scott, "Severance"

Who will win: Adam Scott, "Severance"

Scott's performance as Mark S/Mark Scout on "Severance" is by nature much more layered than his competitors to be ignored.

He has to play Mark S., the newly appointed head of the Macrodata Refinement division of Lumon Industries whose best friend has just inexplicably disappeared from the office and his "outie" Mark Scout, who is grieving the death of his wife while also slowly learning secrets about his company while inside and outside of the building.

It's impressive to play a complex character, but playing two of them while simultaneously melding their lives into one complete story takes acting beyond what any of his peers were asked to do on their shows.

Who should win: Adam Scott

No other performance can compare this year.

Who could surprise us: Bob Odenkirk, "Better Call Saul"

Odenkirk has been honored with the nomination enough and could finally take home the win for his final turn as criminal lawyer Jimmy McGill.

"Abbott Elementary"
"The Bear"
"Hacks"
"Only Murders in the Building"
"Wednesday"

Who will win: "Abbott Elementary"

"Abbott Elementary" singlehandedly revived the network sitcom in 2022 while shining a spotlight on teachers. Give it all of the awards.

Who should win: "Abbott Elementary"

We're standing by one of Insider's TV shows of the year — it's funny but it also has a clear purpose.

Who could surprise us: "Abbott Elementary"

Even though each title deserves its spot, no show here holds a candle to "Abbott."

Quinta Brunson, "Abbott Elementary"
Kaley Cuoco, "The Flight Attendant"
Selena Gomez, "Only Murders in the Building "
Jenna Ortega, "Wednesday"
Jean Smart, "Hacks"

Who will win: Quinta Brunson, "Abbott Elementary"

Brunson has an Emmy in a writing category for "Abbott" but on Tuesday she'll get recognition for playing the loveable-yet-annoying second-grade teacher Janine Teagues.

Who should win: Quinta Brunson, "Abbott Elementary"

Brunson's forecasted win will absolutely be deserved.

Who could surprise us: Jenna Ortega, "Wednesday"

If the HFPA is at all swayed by the mass hysteria around "Wednesday," Ortega will take the Globe home.

Donald Glover, "Atlanta"
Bill Hader, "Barry"
Steve Martin, "Only Murders in the Building"
Martin Short, "Only Murders in the Building"
Jeremy Allen White, "The Bear"

Who will win: Bill Hader, "Barry"

After two previous nominations, we think Hader will finally win for playing the titular hitman who moves to the city of dreams.

Who should win: Jeremy Allen White, "The Bear"

We think "The Bear" needs at least another year on the scene before it starts winning. But White definitely deserves the honor right now.

Who could surprise us: Steve Martin or Martin Short, "Only Murders in the Building"

If the HFPA wants to choose which resident of the Arconia they like better, more power to them. We're not going to touch that choice, and it would be surprising if they did.

Elizabeth Debicki, "The Crown"
Hannah Einbinder, "Hacks"
Julia Garner, "Ozark"
Janelle James, "Abbott Elementary"
Sheryl Lee Ralph, "Abbott Elementary"

Who will win: Sheryl Lee Ralph, "Abbott Elementary"

Ralph already has the Emmy for playing Ms. Barbara Howard in "Abbott Elementary," and we think her natural next step is the Globe.

Who should win: Sheryl Lee Ralph

We truly can't say a bad word about Ralph's performance as the no-nonsense yet beloved kindergarten teacher.

Who could surprise us: Janelle James, "Abbott Elementary"

If Ralph's costar James came away with the win, we'd be equally as pleased. James plays the tone-deaf principal of Willard R. Abbott elementary school perfectly. We'd just be surprised if she came away with it.

John Lithgow, "The Old Man"
Jonathan Pryce, "The Crown"
John Turturro, "Severance"
Tyler James Williams, "Abbott Elementary"
Henry Winkler, "Barry"

Who will win: John Turturro, "Severance"

We think Turturro will take it for similar reasons as his costar Scott. His character Irving is more loyal to Lumon than most of his coworkers, but eventually wises up and rebels.

Again, the psychological thriller requires more nuance than any of his worthy category mates have to bring to their roles.

Who should win: John Turturro

We're rooting for Turturro to win as much as we root for Irving to learn the truth about his company.

Who could surprise us: Henry Winkler, "Barry"

The HFPA certainly loves to nominate Winkler for his role as the egocentric acting coach Gene Cousineau. 2023 could be the year he wins.

"Black Bird"
"Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story"
"Pam and Tommy"
"The Dropout"
"The White Lotus"

Who will win: "The White Lotus"

The Sicily season of "The White Lotus" is too good to be ignored and we don't think the HFPA will dare.

Who should win: "The White Lotus"

We don't even dare say anything else should win to be honest.

Who could surprise us: "The Dropout"

Okay, real talk? "The Dropout" deserves the win as much as "The White Lotus," but what sets HBO's hit over the edge are multiple stellar performances. "The Dropout" is all Amanda Seyfried, but more on her in a second.

Jessica Chastain, "George and Tammy"
Julia Garner, "Inventing Anna"
Lily James, "Pam and Tommy"
Julia Roberts, "Gaslit"
Amanda Seyfried, "The Dropout"

Who will win: Amanda Seyfried, "The Dropout"

As we mentioned above, Seyfried literally has to carry the series about disgraced technology entrepreneur Elizabeth Holmes. That's not to say the supporting players in the series are bad actors, they're not. To put it harshly but simply, no one else's performance matters as much.

To say Seyfried pulled it off is the understatement of the year.

Who should win: Amanda Seyfried

Anyone who can get Jennifer Lawrence to back out of a movie because of the sheer brilliance of their performance deserves all of the awards, period.

Who could surprise us: No one

We send sincere apologies to Roberts (who we love) and Anna Sorokin (aka Anna Delvey) who would love the attention if the Globe went to her portrayer Garner, but it won't. Seyfried or bust.

Taron Egerton, "Black Bird"
Colin Firth, "The Staircase"
Andrew Garfield, "Under the Banner of Heaven"
Evan Peters, "Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story"
Sebastian Stan, "Pam & Tommy"

Who will win: Evan Peters, "Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story"

We don't think the HFPA will be able to resist giving the win to Peters for his role as one of the most notorious serial killers in the world.

Who should win: Andrew Garfield

We're more intrigued by Garfield's performance as the faithful and shocked Detective Jeb Pyre as he has to investigate the murder of a woman and her child.

Who could surprise us: No one

The win is going to Evans and if it goes to Garfield we'll be happier but not surprised.

Jennifer Coolidge, "The White Lotus"
Claire Danes, "Fleishman Is in Trouble"
Daisy Edgar-Jones, "Under the Banner of Heaven"
Niecy Nash-Betts, "Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story"
Aubrey Plaza, "The White Lotus"

Who will win: Jennifer Coolidge, "The White Lotus"

Coolidge is absolutely annoying as Tanya McQuoid-Hunt, but that's the whole point and she nails it. We think the HFPA will give her her due.

Who should win: Jennifer Coolidge

We hate to be a broken record, but we can't deny Coolidge will deserve her win.

Who could surprise us: No one

Coolidge is going to take it home.

F. Murray Abraham, "The White Lotus"
Domhnall Gleeson, "The Patient"
Paul Walter Hauser, "Black Bird"
Richard Jenkins, "Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story"
Seth Rogen, "Pam & Tommy"

Who will win: Paul Walter Hauser, "Black Bird"

We think Hauser will win for his portrayal of the real-life serial killer Larry Hall in "Black Bird."

Who should win: F. Murray Abraham

Abraham stole our hearts as the dirty old grandpa Bert Di Grasso in "The White Lotus," and if he won it would thrill us.

Who could surprise us: Anyone else

It's a toss-up in Hauser's favor, here.

The Golden Globes will air on NBC on Tuesday, January 10 at 8 p.m. ET.