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Donald Trump still has a huge lead over his Republican rivals

Sep 30, 2015, 22:02 IST

Republican presidential candidate, businessman Donald Trump, speaks at an event sponsored by the Greater Charleston Business Alliance and the South Carolina African American Chamber of Commerce.AP

Real-estate tycoon Donald Trump retains a significant lead over his Republican rivals, according to a new poll from Suffolk University and USA Today.

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About 23.5% of likely Republican voters in the poll said they prefer Trump as the Republican Party's nominee. Trump leads retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, who each received about 13% support. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Florida), at 9%, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R), at 8%, round out the top five in the poll.

The poll contained some familiar warning signs for Trump going forward - namely, that voters do not view him in much of a favorable light. Just 27% of voters overall see him favorably, while 61% said they have an unfavorable view of the real-estate magnate.

By comparison, Carson was viewed favorably by 40% of respondents, and unfavorably by 32%. Fiorina's favorability split, meanwhile, is 38-32.

"Despite topping the Republican ballot test, Trump's overall favorability numbers should be of concern to his campaign," said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston.

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"Trump is the Jekyll and Hyde candidate-strong when among conservative voters but viewed much differently once Democrats and independents are in the mix."

Overall, Trump's standing has jumped about 6 points from the same survey in July, despite a growing perception that his support has leveled off in recent days. The 23% number is about in line with averages of other recent national polls, according to Real Clear Politics.

Carson and Fiorina have also surged when compared to the last Suffolk/USA Today survey - they recorded 4% and 1% support, respectively, in the July poll. Other recent surveys have shown Carson in a closer contest with Trump.

Here's a full look at where the candidates stand:

  • Trump: 23%
  • Carson: 13%
  • Fiorina: 13%
  • Rubio: 9%
  • Bush: 8%
  • Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas): 6%
  • Ohio Gov. John Kasich, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Kentucky): 2%
  • Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina), and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie: 1%

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